November 05, 2024


With 86% in in Ohio, Moreno is +5 over Sherrod Brown. Megyn Kelly just spent ten minutes laughing at Kamala Harris's various accents. Click on it, then go back about ten minutes. It was funny. She just said she wanted to do ten more minutes of Kamala's accents. One of the panelists said "I could do without it," and Megyn said, in a fake Jamaican accent, "Why not mon?" The Coffin Dancers are warming up.

CNN is now reporting that Kamala Harris's headquarters has fallen into complete silence, with crowds of supporters visibly tense with some seen pacing while others are beginning to lose hope as updates come inUpdate: We're gonna need a bigger Senate.
Posted by: JackStraw

Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 10:52 PM | Comments (552) | Trackbacks (Suck)
With 45% of the Pennsylvania vote in -- and all of Harris's early-vote firewall all burned out -- Trump is about to take the lead, and I don't think he'll relinquish it once he has it.
The needle shows Trump with a likely 291 electoral votes. The Times has moved NC from "lean R" to "likely R." I know Decision Desk already called it, but this is confirmation. Update: GA now moved to "likely R" as well. Update: Now GA is "Very Likely" for Trump. That's it. I mean, he needs Arizona too, but I don't think even Maricopa County can print up enough votes to steal that one. Deb Heine say they rate Pennsylvania as 75% likely to be won by Trump. Whoops: No, that was there call for the whole race. They say he's now up to an 86% chance of winning -- the needle is just outside the "Likely Trump" band. Update: And now the NYT admits: "Likely Trump" victory in the race. I think we are at, as Gandalf called it, the turning of the tide. We need NC, GA, and PA (or MI or WI) and AZ, which I assume Trump will win handily.The Republicans in tight Senate races are now pulling even or pulling ahead. I think the next couple of hours will be telling -- and good for us. Youngkin says: Don't count Virginia for Harris.
551 519 231
'Youngkin is NOT conceding VA - just on Hannity...' He shouldn't. Whoever called it for Harris interfered with the election. ................2020..................2024
Fairfax......69.9/28.0..........66.5/31.2 (59.6% reporting) With 59.7% of the state reporting, Trump is up 48000 votes. Loudon and Prince WM are about completely counted. Fairfax is the only pocket of blue votes left.
Posted by: Dr. Claw at November 05, 2024 09:52 PM (3wi/L)
LOL:
103 Decision Desk has PULLED their VA Call!Harris is now ahead of Trump in Va. NYT calls it Very Likely for Harris. Hung Cao is trailing Tim Kaine 51-49 with 59% of the vote in. Come on, Hung Cao! Tammy Baldwin is tied. Moreno is beating Sherrod Brown by three points. David McCormick is close to Trump in PA. If Trump wins PA, McCormick will probably flip the Senate seat, too.
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 10:08 PM | Comments (975) | Trackbacks (Suck)
Decision Desk Calls NC for Trump
Fox Calls TX Senate for Cruz!
Update: Trump needs NC, GA, and one of the blue wall states.
One down! Two to go! (He could also win if he loses all of the blue wall state, but he'd have to flip a state like NH or New Mexico. Or Virginia.) Update: Halperin says that Jen Psaki is ruminating about the evils of the electoral college system on MSNBC, a "real news" station. Ohio was closer than expected. Megyn Kelly just brought up the bad possibility that this might mean that Kamala Harris has more strength in the neighboring blue wall states of WI, MI, and PA. But the "Needle" just flipped Michigan from "Lean Harris" to "toss-up." And both GA and NC to "Lean Trump." And it also moves the election into the Leaning Trump category. Boy it's been a while since we had some calls.Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 09:18 PM | Comments (909) | Trackbacks (Suck)
The New York Times needle is back, but it's paywalled. But here's a snapshot of it some time in the recent past.
Marina MedvinThe NYT needle has PA 53% likely to go to Trump. Update: Bluebell showed me that the front page of the Times shows the needle. If any of you have an account, do me a favor a take frequent snapshots on Archive.Is, so I can share them with everyone. Decision Desk now rates North Carolina 73% likely to be won by Trump.
@MarinaMedvin New York Times has Georgia leaning toward Trump and Trump likely to win the election by 278 electoral votes.
Remember Fox News pushing the idea that Trump was doing badly in the Indianapolis suburb of Hamilton County, based on the smallest amount of early vote? Yeah.
BonchieHaving any takes based on 5-20% of the vote is a mugg's game.
@bonchieredstate All that crying about Hamilton County and Trump is now matching his 2020 performance there and winning the state itself by a larger margin than 2020. DO NOT GIVE HOT TAKES BASED ON THE EARLY VOTE. ITS NOT HARD.
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 08:40 PM | Comments (647) | Trackbacks (Suck)
update: Halperin says Trump is very confident he's won Georgia, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. That wins it all for him, assuming he takes Arizona (which he surely will, he's led there since forever ago).
Meanwhile, Kamala is arguing that "late surges" in Georgia and North Carolina give her reason to hope. Sounds like weak spin.This win isn't a surprise-- but the early call might be a harbinger. As Katie Pavlich said, Florida will finish counting all votes within the next 40 minutes. How do the various Democrat-controlled counties in Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania justify not finishing counting for days or even weeks?
DeSantis announced the prop 3 and prop 4, which would liberalize abortion and pot, were defeated. Decision Desk thinks Trump now has a 69% chance of winning the whole ball of wax. I'm nervous. So are you. It might help you to know that the DUmmies are nervous too:
Cabot Phillips
@cabot_phillips Florida has counted 7 million votes in 45 minutes. It can be done.
CNN just indicated that there may be a 20% swing in Indies from Biden to Kamala. Fuck Georgia. Independents suck. CNN lies a much as fox That's people identifying as indy. It may not be the same batch of voters that went Biden in 2020. I don't think you can look much at that swing and believe that it's real movement or just changes in who is saying they are indy vs not. Exactly. People don't register with a party when they vote/register to vote in Georgia, so these are self-identified "Independents." How many of them are already inclined toward the Republicans but don't want to admit their true political leanings to a pollster? It always looks good for Republicans early in the evening. Fuck russia and china because they are helping tRump I don't have a good feeling about the rest of the night. I'll be kind and simply say posts like this are not helpful. Turned on CNN a few times tonight and found Tapper and Bash being very negative about Harris. I wouldn't trust anything they are saying. Posted by: Intercepted DU Transmissions brought by the Intrepid AoS Liaison
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 08:05 PM | Comments (538) | Trackbacks (Suck)
Trump, Justice (Sen), Morrissey (Gov) Sweep in West Virginia
Update: Are we seeing the first massive COPE from lefty fake journalists?!
ANDREA MITCHELL: "There are a lot of men...black and white, who just simply don't trust a woman to be chief executive, Commander in Chief."
"They just don't wanna vote for a woman." Posted by: Anonosaurus Wrecks, Covfefe Today, Covfefe Tomorrow, Covfefe Forever!
Grain of salt. GA Independents Exit Poll : Trump - 54%As I keep saying, exits always have a strong Democrat skew.
Harris - 43% Charlie Kirk. Posted by: jsg
Florida's VoiceFlorida's in the bag, but this suggests the Latino Immigration to Trump is real.
@FLVoiceNews BREAKING: Donald Trump wins Miami-Dade County early vote by 11 points over Kamala Harris
Eric DaughertyOne big question is: What about the independents? Could they be breaking for Harris, as she insists? It doesn't look that way based on (left-leaning) exit polls in battleground state Georgia:
@EricLDaugh BREAKING: Trump has FLIPPED DUVAL. With many election day votes to go, Trump leads by 0.4 points. Trump LOST the county to Biden. Trump has also flipped Pinellas County -- another bellwether.
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 07:27 PM | Comments (593) | Trackbacks (Suck)
Trump, Justice Win in West Virginia (As Everyone Expected)
The Ruthless guy said this would be called immediately. They also said to not take it as a harbinger of the night: Banks was well, well ahead of his Democrat opponent (whose name I do not have to learn, so I won't).
Still, it's nice. The seat had been held by a Republican so this is not a pick-up, just a hold. CNN exit: Trump winning white voters without a degree -- one of the biggest voting groups of all -- 81% to 18%. But Fox is talking up Trump losing a little support in Republican-leaning suburbs, such as Hamilton County in Indiana. If Trump keeps losing not just wine moms but their cuckolds and bulls, that could be a problem.Grain of salt. GA Independents Exit Poll : Trump - 54%As I keep saying, exits always have a strong Democrat skew.
Harris - 43% Charlie Kirk. Posted by: jsg
Florida's VoiceFlorida's in the bag, but this suggests the Latino Immigration to Trump is real.
@FLVoiceNews BREAKING: Donald Trump wins Miami-Dade County early vote by 11 points over Kamala Harris
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 07:05 PM | Comments (403) | Trackbacks (Suck)
I listened to the Ruthless podcast. It made me a little nervous. Big picture: Trump had a choice to make in 2024: Do I spend half a billion dollars to try to appeal to the Suburban Wine Moms who hate me, or do I gamble that there's an untapped voting block of disaffected young male low-propensity voters I can turn out instead of chasing the cat ladies?
He chose the latter. The Ruthless guys didn't say this, but if Trump wanted to make a play for the Wine Moms, he'd have chosen Nikki Haley as his running mate. Awful. Instead he doubled down on the male vote and went with JD Vance. The trouble is, this is a gamble. Those young male voters are rarely targeted because they don't turn out. They think they're above party politics, and, I guess, don't mind too much being perpetually targeted by the left as monsters who must be Corrected and Minded by old white women. Will they turn out? I dunno. The early vote so far is mostly female, though the female vote is down from 2020. Though the Ruthless guys also pointed out is not a good measure of success. 2020 was a very odd year in which many, many people voted early. Liberals especially, as they were all wearing eighteen masks and refusing to leave their homes. So the fact that the Democrat early vote is down from 2020 doesn't prove all that much. 2020 was a very strange year we shouldn't take as a baseline. Now the exit polls are hot garbage and always have been. It's important to remember the exit polls always favor the left, and by a large percentage, too. People just do not want to admit to the media they voted for Trump -- or George Bush. CNN reported earlier that Trump voters were running from their own attempts to interview them. So whatever the exit polls say, remember, the reality is probably 7-10% better. These exits, about the current state of the country, do not look good for Kamala. Then again, she's bizarrely claiming to be the "change" candidate who will "Turn the page" on her own record. And also: Many Cat Ladies are angry about abortion and want to "turn the page" from Dobbs. Seems bad for Harris, though.
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 06:08 PM | Comments (562) | Trackbacks (Suck)
Is this a tea leaf? Israel's Minister of Defense has pushed the Biden line on Netanyahu, telling him he couldn't "escalate" the war with Iran.
The day of the American election, Netanyahu fires his ass and replaces him with a stronger man. Almost as if he doesn't have to appease the Obama-Biden-Harris Iran Chorus any longer.Ron M.
@Jewtastic Long time coming.. Israel's Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has been removed, Israel's Foreign Minister Israel Katz will take the position. Gallant has been on the outs with the Prime Minister and the entire Likud Party for months, acting like a free agent for Benny Gantz, Biden etc. Gallant accomplished some great operations with the IDF but a Defense Minister needs to have a proper relationship with the Prime Minister in Israel, or else he goes.
Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu fired Defense Minister Yoav Gallant on Tuesday, citing statements that "contradict the decisions of the government and the decisions of the cabinet." Gallant's firing comes after months of deteriorating relations between him and Netanyahu, including Gallant criticizing Netanyahu's management of the Israel-Hamas (and now Hamas and Iran) War in media interviews and in the Knesset. RedState:Guam flips; Hank Johnson worries about all the people now drowning....
"In the midst of a war, more than ever, full trust is required between the Prime Minister and the Minister of Defense," Netanyahu stated, as he laid out his rationale for Gantz's removal while the country was over a year into a war with Iran and its proxies; chiefly Hamas and Hezbollah. "Unfortunately, although in the first few months of the campaign, there was such trust and very fruitful work, over the last few months, this trust has cracked between myself and the Defense Minister," Netanyahu said.
On the other hand, Gallant's cozy relationship with Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin may explain why Israel has refused to share military plans with the Pentagon.<
Matthew BoyleSupposedly the mood on CNN is grim.
@mboyle1 Exit polling suggests GOP has flipped the Guam legislature for the first time in nearly 2 decades.
CNN is reporting that Trump voters don't want to be interviewed. Because they fear the social terrorism of the left, of course. So one point for the theory that Shy Trump Voters are causing pollsters to miss Trump's true level of support.
Shem Horne
@Shem_Infinite CNN is trying to put on a brave face but they know. I just heard someone say "this thing is not over" and it's not even 2PM yet lol
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 05:20 PM | Comments (586) | Trackbacks (Suck)
Do you think that Oregon and Washington are afraid of "MAGA country" invading their cities for the first time since Jussie Smollett?
Because I don't.Eric DaughertyRegarding Nevada: Liberal Jon Ralston said that Kamala Harris would lose if she were behind by 25,000 votes (in terms of D vs R registration; no one knows how they voted). She's now behind by 43,000. Now he says "Nevermind," and the "early vote is different this year" and so it doesn't count. Via Mediaite:
@EricLDaugh CNN: National Guard troops are now on standby in Nevada, Washington state, Oregon over "potential election unrest"
"Usually, the Democrats, fueled by the machine that Harry Reid built, erect a firewall in populous Clark County that is designed as a bulwark against losses in the 15 red counties, with Washoe County often deciding who wins," he wrote. "But this cycle, with former President Donald Trump and Co. discovering it might be smart to encourage Republicans to vote early and even by mail (the horror!), the GOP vote has been frontloaded. The inverse is true and the question is whether the Democrats can overcome a 43,000-plus GOP ballot lead as I write this."Are Nevada businesses putting up plywood over their windows because they fear that MAGA Vikings will start smashing windows if they lose? Unlikely. The rioters will be who they always are -- antifa, BLM, and the various pro-left "anarchist" groups the Democrat Party protects as its street muscle and paramilitaries. That doesn't mean that Trump will win. But these blue state governors and blue city mayors seem to think that Trump will win. David Strom reminds us that the left rioted in 2017 -- but that was Regime-approved lawless violence, so there were never any inquiries into it and precious few jail sentences.
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 04:10 PM | Comments (729) | Trackbacks (Suck)
A new conspiracy theory has taken root on Election Day concerning search giant Google in the closely watched race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. On Tuesday, searches on Google for "Where can I vote for Harris?" display a "Where to vote" map that lets uses enter their street address to find their polling location. However, a Google search for "Where can I vote for Trump?" does not show a similar map. Google did not immediately respond to a request for comment about the apparent discrepancy.Variety's spin is that the most common search inquiry is "where can I vote," not where can I vote for [specific candidate], so what's the big deal? @FilmLadd says he doesn't think this is election interference: Just Kamala Harris paying Google to link that query to an election map, something he guesses Trump didn't do.
But if that were the case, Google would say so, wouldn't they? I dunno. We'll see. Update: Here's Google's fair-and-balanced election coverage, via Instapundit.
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 03:11 PM | Comments (598) | Trackbacks (Suck)
Most of the below is positive news, but caveat from Charlie Kirk: He say voting is "mixed." Some places our vote is coming in big. In other places, it's too low.
I saw someone else say that while the rural vote is high, there are now "signs of life" in the urban vote as well. So don't get complacent.The all-important vote from Dixville Notch, NH: dead tie at... 3-3. But that's a big improvement from 2020!
In New Hampshire's first official vote, the midnight tradition of Dixville Notch resulted in a 3-3 tie between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, marking a notable shift from previous years in the small, symbolic town. Key Details: Six registered voters cast ballots in Dixville Notch, NH, splitting evenly between Trump and Harris, 3-3. Trump improved on his previous performances in the town, gaining one more vote than in 2016 and three more than in 2020.In 2020, Trump was skunked by Biden 5-0. Biden will not be attending Harris's election night watch party.
Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh JUST IN: Nevada Secretary of State Election Day update [GOP entered day with 40K lead] REP: 20,905
OTH: 19,154
DEM: 16,799 People worried about Clark but the rurals canceled it out big time...
OSZ
@OpenSourceZone
Florida Early + Election Day Votes: 4,205,170 (+1,103,229)
3,101,941
2,138,136
Political Election ProjectionsA Biden 2020 voter in Surprise, Arizona says he just voted for Trump because he was "deceived" by the Democrats. He probably means their 2020 promise to return the nation to "normalcy," and then bringing nothing but tumult and discord with their extremism and incompetence.
@tencor_7144 Projection: Kimberlyn King-Hinds (R) is the apparent winner in the Northern Mariana Islands delegate race, flipping the seat to the GOP.
Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
BREAKING PENNSYLVANIA UPDATE: Republicans are now EVEN with Democrats in their mail-in ballot return rate (~86% each) They trailed by 8 POINTS in 2020. DEM firewall is now at 419,578, or 22.3 points. 2020 - it was 1.1M, or 42 points....
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 02:04 PM | Comments (933) | Trackbacks (Suck)

Kathy Barnette
@Kathy4Truth This just happened. ALERT: Check your ballot *BEFORE* you vote. Zoom in on the picture below👇🏾 Do you see the tiny DOT next to Harris/Walz's name? 😳 I walked into my voting location this morning like "Norm" on Cheers - everybody knows my name❤️ As I'm chating to the official poll workers who sit right outside the door where you cast your vote, they tap on the desk and show me the attached photo.👇🏾 She says, "When you get your ballot and if you see that little dot," as she pointed to the tiny little "dot" next to Harris/Walz's name, "ask for a new ballot." "WHAT!?" I gasped. I said, "Are you telling everyone this as they walk in?" She said, "We're trying to."
Cynthia Yockey
@conservativelez The way this ballot scam works is that the dot in the box for Harris is covered up if you vote for her, but if you vote for Trump it counts as an over-voted ballot so it be marked as spoiled and won't count
Obviously you can't vote for Harris and Trump for president, so if a ballot already has a little dot marked for Harris, your vote gets tossed. Whoops! Whoopsie!
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 01:17 PM | Comments (386) | Trackbacks (Suck)
The issue that turns him is the fact that if the Democrats "win" this election, there will never be another one.
That's right. The Regime is very unpopular. They can no longer submit their agenda for popular approval. That means they will do what all corrupt, authoritarian regimes do: They will rig elections. "President" Kamala will grant illegals the right to vote with the stroke of her pen, and the Supreme Court, stacked with her appointees, will affirm that the dictator now has the power to issue edicts without Congress. Yudisthustra's Dice (sp?) said that it was a mistake for Rogan to endorse. The idea, I think, is that Rogan has a certain amount of credibility as a neutral party and the moment he endorses Trump, he loses that. He becomes a less useful political arbiter. I completely disagree. As Breitbart said, politics is downstream from culture. The war we're waging is emphatically not a political one. It's a cultural one. And right now, we are getting demolished with the left's unchallenged cultural power. I don't mean us political types. I mean the normies who care much, much more about their social position than any particular political or ideological outcome It is the left -- the Regime -- that gets to decide who will be valorized and who will be smeared and anathematized. The Regime gets to decide who will have the rights of an American to speak, and who will be harassed, blacklisted, and debanked. The left is waging, and has been waging, a campaign of social terrorism against us for ten years. No one wants to speak out against the left, because when they do, the left declares them -- as they declared Elon Musk -- "Public Enemy Number Two" (with Trump, of course, number one). This social terrorism will continue producing political success for the Regime -- until we are no longer afraid. We must strip from them the power to declare who is to be praised and who is to be condemned. We must regain the power to declare, for ourselves, what is right and true, and what is evil. Joe Rogan is an influential, popular figure. He is "Cool Guy." So is Elon Musk. He's routinely called a real-life Iron Man. So, in his way, is RFKJr. At least Olivia Nuzzi seemed to think so. Ryan Long has been complaining for years that our current cultural and political landscape is determined completely by what "hot 22-year-old girls" think. Girls lean to the left anyway, and add to that a toxic bullying machine that preys upon girls' natural agreeability -- their desire to please other people -- and the pressure girls feel to conform with the dominant group. This in turn quickly turns to young men endorsing the hot 22-year-old girl position. Most of us are older, and we've exited the intense Mating Game competitions. But for young men, there is little more important than attracting a high quality mate. And if the 22-year-old hot girls are all saying that it's racist to enforce the border, the young men will soon start repeating that. It doesn't matter if they're insincere when they repeat it. The left demands you repeat their dogmas -- they're not insistent that you believe them. Just that you repeat them. Because the more people repeat their dogmas, the more the dissenters will feel isolated and menaced, and the more self-cenorship they'll engage in. And after that, it's very easy to roll up most institutions. Corporations will just hear one side claiming that free speech is racist. Eager themselves to conform with the dominant culture norm, they'll start enforcing the left's demands for censorship and purging their employees of wrongthink. Rogan's status as a cultural arbiter and taste-maker is far, far more important than his role as a direct vote influencer. By denouncing the Regime, and declaring it uncool, he creates the space for millions of other people to do likewise. 22-year-old girls have a lot of cultural power, but so too do Cool Guys.Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 12:11 PM | Comments (578) | Trackbacks (Suck)

Posted by: Open Blogger at 10:55 AM | Comments (769) | Trackbacks (Suck)

Rembrandt Harmenszoon van Rijn
Posted by: CBD at 09:15 AM | Comments (685) | Trackbacks (Suck)
Good morning kids. Well today is election day and as such marks the end of voting season. But it is the beginning of vote counting season
And vote rigging forging and cheating that likely has been going on for weeks if not months already. And may the Marc Eliases of this world be thwarted and crushed at every turn.
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at 07:00 AM | Comments (786) | Trackbacks (Suck)
Top Story
- At long last, we have created the Torment Nexus from classic sci-fi novel Don't Create the Torment Nexus: The first user of the Sarco suicide pod, an American woman suffering from a rare and painful bone infection compounded by an immune disorder, was found alive in the pod with strangulation marks before dying on the scene. (LBC)
The Swiss police, after warning everybody involved in writing that they would be arrested if they proceeded with their stunt, arrested everybody involved.According to the news outlet, the company president, who was standing beside the woman throughout the event, was heard to tell the pod's designer over video call: "She's still alive, Philip".
Always mount a scratch monkey.After being notified of her death by the two lawyers involved in the project and present at the scene, the police swept the forest and arrested everyone near the Sarco, including a photographer for Volkskrant.
Good call.A Forensic doctor present at the scene told the court that the woman had, among other things, severe injuries to her neck.
This is apparently not supposed to happen.
Posted by: Pixy Misa at 04:00 AM | Comments (226) | Trackbacks (Suck)
November 04, 2024
Quote I “When regular caffeine consumers stop [ingesting it], they often experience withdrawal symptoms for three to seven days,” Jennifer Temple, PhD, a director and researcher at the University at Buffalo specializing in caffeine studies
Quote II “It's certainly not going to be like it was in 2020,” Fetterman said, declining to give a specific prediction of what day he thinks the results will be finalized. “It will not be the two or three or four days coming out of Philadelphia.” Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.)
Quote III 'Huh, I bet I could steal that and nobody would know,' Joshua Jacobson, a loss-prevention professional in California
Posted by: Misanthropic Humanitarian at 09:47 PM | Comments (621) | Trackbacks (Suck)

St. Michael's Mount, Cornwall UK
via mobicastle
Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 08:16 PM | Comments (351) | Trackbacks (Suck)
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