Stop Me If You've Heard This One Before: Second Quarter Real GDP Growth Revised <i>Upwards</i> by 0.7%

Stop Me If You've Heard This One Before: Second Quarter Real GDP Growth Revised Upwards by 0.7%

Why is it that estimated growth rates always have to be revised downwards for Democrats and upwards for Republicans?

Because the left-wing bureaucrats consistently overestimate growth under Democrats and underestimate it under Republicans.

Note that it's the first estimate that gets all the press. The revision only gets noticed by economists and traders.

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.2% in the second quarter of 2026, according to a U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released Wednesday.
In the first quarter, real GDP increased, at a revised rate of 2.5%.
The report released Monday, for April, May, and June, is an estimate, the third for the quarter.
Real GDP was revised up 0.7% point from the second estimate, "primarily reflecting upward revisions to investment, consumer spending and government spending," the Commerce Department's bureau also said.

Inflation came in -- say it with me -- unexpectedly low.

The key Commerce Department report released Wednesday shows consumer prices in August increased 0.3% from the previous month, less than Wall Street expected.
The report, the personal consumption expenditures price index, is the primary inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve, which sets interest rates based on inflation.
Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.2%.
The seasonally adjusted 0.3% increase for the month, puts the 12-month gain at 3.4%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for increases of 0.3% and 3.7% respectively, according to CBNC.com.

Instapundit has some Russian Conspiracy Theory that the media manipulates economic news to favor politicians they vote for and to disfavor the politicians they hate.

What an absurd and Racist theory.

It is the best of economies, it is the worst of economies.
But which?
It really is a tale of two economies, depending on who you ask.
On the one hand, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Sunday that the US economy has entered an "acceleration phase": Despite rising interest rates, the markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted.
On the other, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries railed just days before that President Donald Trump has delivered a "Rotten Age," with an economy that's "failing everyday Americans" -- and Americans seem to agree, with 63% disapproving of Trump's economic policies, per the RealClear Politics polling average.
By the numbers, Bessent has a strong case.
US jobless claims tumbled last week to levels not seen in years, retail sales are up and manufacturing is booming.
Importantly, the workforce participation rate is climbing -- so the low unemployment numbers aren't just the result of people giving up on the job search altogether.
As columnist Daniel McCarthy notes, "Establishment economists predicted none of this."
Well, they're usually wrong, it seems.
Trump's combination of lighter regulation, tighter restrictions on illegal immigration and protectionist tariffs is translating into more jobs here at home as businesses expand.
...
It's an old playbook, one that Bill Clinton's pollster Mark Penn wielded to defeat President George H.W. Bush in 1992.
The economy had actually recovered from a brief recession in 1991, but voters thought otherwise -- because the media told them so.
"There is often a huge disconnect between belief about the economy and the true economic state of affairs," Penn wrote in his 2007 book "Microtrends."
"Until the statistics are actually published, people tend to assess the economy through the eyes of the national media."
During the 1992 election, Clinton repeatedly told us we were experiencing the worst economy in 50 years.
The press echoed that message dutifully.
But as Penn recounted with glee, "The statistics that came out after the election showed that the period leading up to November had actually been a period of record growth."
Whether this is the best of economies, the worst of economies, or something in between, you can bet that for the next month-plus we'll be told it's the worst.
We always are, when the Republicans are in charge.

Although I am pessimistic about the midterms, NeverTrump liberal Frank Luntz of all people says that
the GOP hasn't lost yet.

His polling shows a rough cycle for both parties, but the details favor the GOP. Trump and Republicans aren't polling well, yet Democrats are doing even worse, and they've dug themselves deeper into their media bubbles. Even the turnout advantage Democrats are banking on turns out to be pretty thin.
"I'm looking at a turnout differential that advantages the Democrats by a couple of points, which means that there are more people who oppose Donald Trump, who are planning to vote, than those who support him," Luntz told CNN This Morning on Monday. "There's always been a historical advantage to the party out of power in the midterms, particularly in the first midterms."
A couple of points? That's it?
The party out of power usually walks into its first midterm with the wind at its back, and Democrats can only manage a two-point edge.
Luntz also explained why that edge is so fragile.
Trump's voters show up when he's on the ballot and stay home when he isn't, which makes his absence in November a bigger problem for Republicans than his approval ratings.
"When he is on the ballot, his people come out. They participate," he said. "They did in the on-year elections, 2016 and 2024. And they did not, in 2018. And they did not as much, even when Joe Biden was the president in 2020, for the 2022 election."
The fix is obvious, and Trump is already working on it. Luntz said the whole map hinges on whether the president can get those voters engaged again, starting with the biggest prize.
"But he needs his people to vote in a place like Texas," Luntz continued. "If the Trump voters participate, the Republican nominee in Texas is elected. If the Trump voters don't participate, the Democrats will achieve an upset. It's the same thing in states as small as Iowa, Alaska. It even matters in a state like Ohio."

Turnout is a big problem. I see a lot of conservatives trying to rally the base into turning out.

🚨 UPDATE: Donald Trump posted overnight CNN's admission that he has 98% PERCENT SUPPORT among the MAGA GOP

"There's been no real decline in MAGA support...these folks say they're gonna vote for Congressional Republicans! That support is really holding up strong!"

IT NEEDS TO… pic.twitter.com/kdnDpf4uFI
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 29, 2026

17 months in a row of zero illegal crossings
The best crime numbers in history, even after Democrats let in 25 million people
The most jobs in the history of the United States
Murders are lower than at any time since 1900
New plants are being built every day, like today's $18B investment
$21 TRILLION being invested in America, the most in history
The war will be won very soon
Gas prices will come tumbling down

🚨 WOW! President Trump was just asked what his midterm message is for millions of Americans to vote red, and he dropped RAPID FIRE truth nukes to the Fake News in the Oval Office:

- 17 months in a row of ZERO illegal crossings
- The best crime numbers in history, even after… pic.twitter.com/0todedjOiS
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 28, 2026

Posted by: Disinformation Expert Ace at 02:32 PM

Comments

(Jump to bottom of comments)

1 I VOTED FOR THIS!

Posted by: Washington Nearsider: Gotterdammerung at September 30, 2026 02:33 PM (gLYp7)

2 It happens.

Every time.

Posted by: ... at September 30, 2026 02:33 PM (x8rTv)

3 And I nooded before I commented.

Posted by: Washington Nearsider: Gotterdammerung at September 30, 2026 02:33 PM (gLYp7)

4 Breath of fresh air.

Posted by: Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _ at September 30, 2026 02:33 PM (nqf1u)

5 Willowed:

Brought to you by the geniuses at The Babylon Bee:

"Near Disaster As FlyDubai Pilot Fails To Illuminate 'No Hijacking' Sign"

https://tinyurl.com/548ykp5u

Their website definitely employs many Morons.

Posted by: Pillage Idiot at September 30, 2026 02:34 PM (HlyYF)

6 Crime numbers so low Matt Yglesias noticed.

Posted by: Ian S. at September 30, 2026 02:34 PM (2ocoG)

7 Now, act like government spending should be counted negative to GDP.

And realize that GDP was down a full 1% because government spending was down in Q2.

So...add 1% to the Q2 GDP for the money the government didn't spend, because that's how government spending should be included in GDP.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:34 PM (U/fqy)

8 i didn't know that we're now taxing remittances, so mexico is paying for the wall

and sid's ass is the best tasting ass

Posted by: Paul...who likes the flavor of his dog's excrement at September 30, 2026 02:34 PM (fNAFl)

9 Trump will carry the hapless feckless testeless gormless Republicans over the finish line, again. But he said doody once and trusted some Republicans that everyone loved.

Posted by: ... at September 30, 2026 02:35 PM (x8rTv)

10 I'm pleased with the job Trump is doing.

Posted by: Emmie at September 30, 2026 02:35 PM (ppsv1)

11 Instapundit has some Russian Conspiracy Theory that the media manipulates economic news to favor politicians they vote for and to disfavor the politicians they hate.

=========

Journalists are objective fact tellers who explicitly reject telling objective fact.

Why is that so hard to understand?

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:35 PM (U/fqy)

12 ~~Un-~~Expectedly!

Posted by: Another Anon at September 30, 2026 02:35 PM (4h45B)

13
(sigh) Ace, these economists are CREDENTIALED!

Posted by: Auspex at September 30, 2026 02:35 PM (Y8DZL)

14 No shit stop me if you heard this one before.

Posted by: Hokey Pokey at September 30, 2026 02:35 PM (wxsGM)

15
I'm told in a million posts that things have never been worse.

Posted by: Hadrian the Seventh at September 30, 2026 02:36 PM (eRlcH)

16 >>> Turnout is a big problem. I see a lot of conservatives trying to rally the base into turning out.

=====

My wife and will be voting in a midterm for the first time in our 29 years (yeah, I know. 🤦‍♂️

. Hope that there are more like us.

Posted by: Turn 2 at September 30, 2026 02:36 PM (QFchU)

17 Inflation came in -- say it with me -- unexpectedly low.

The one problem with this data point, which is a major, major success for Trump is that quite a few normies don't understand what inflation is.

Even if Trump got inflation to 0%, the Bidenflation prices stay because Biden destroyed the value of the dollar by 50%.

It would take substantial deflation to undo that which is probably impossible to do and would have other problems if it was.

So take 2020-24 as a lesson, don't elect Democrats if you don't want prices to double.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:36 PM (sKqQm)

18 *markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted
**markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted
***markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted
****markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted
_ghost of Maynard Ferguson

Posted by: Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _ at September 30, 2026 02:36 PM (nqf1u)

19 >>>the GOP hasn't lost yet.

Don't give up hope.

Posted by: Comrade Flounder, Disinformation Demon at September 30, 2026 02:37 PM (dK+Kv)

20 Crime numbers so low Matt Yglesias noticed.

Posted by: Ian S. at September 30, 2026 02:34 PM (2ocoG)

But he - like every lefty - simply can't connect 'cause' to 'effect.'

Posted by: Washington Nearsider: Gotterdammerung at September 30, 2026 02:37 PM (gLYp7)

21 "Turnout for Republicans is trash!" say the vibes.

"Turnout for Democrats is trash," say the data.

https://x.com/TonerousHyus/status/
2105349389762113877/photo/1

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:37 PM (U/fqy)

22 "But he needs his people to vote in a place like Texas," Luntz continued. "If the Trump voters participate, the Republican nominee in Texas is elected. If the Trump voters don't participate, the Democrats will achieve an upset. It's the same thing in states as small as Iowa, Alaska. It even matters in a state like Ohio."

Turnout is a big problem. I see a lot of conservatives trying to rally the base into turning out.

Because Republican voters seem largely stupid.

Staying home and letting Democrats DESTROY THE COUNTRY is a stupid f*cking way to go about things.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 02:38 PM (ccf/V)

23 I'm kind of surprised that Secretary Bessent hasn't requested on-site auditing and evaluation at the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis in real time. So, they can identify the political hacks that seem to think it's OK to shape the economy to their liking.

Posted by: Orson at September 30, 2026 02:38 PM (dIske)

24 Now, act like government spending should be counted negative to GDP

This is sort of comedic when you really think about it.

The government could double the GDP tomorrow by just printing $24T and giving it to politicians.

Does anyone believe that would be good for the country as a whole?

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:38 PM (sKqQm)

25 Good thing we didn't lower interest rates to help Trump and the economy. Look at thise inflation numbers!!! /s

Posted by: Admiral Ackbar at September 30, 2026 02:38 PM (aBcEh)

26 24 This is sort of comedic when you really think about it.

The government could double the GDP tomorrow by just printing $24T and giving it to politicians.

Does anyone believe that would be good for the country as a whole?

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:38 PM (sKqQm)

======

This is the story of Biden's positive GDP numbers, by the way.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:38 PM (U/fqy)

27 So, the economy is doing very well indeed. So to counter this, the Left talks gas gas gas and beef beef beef prices. Pissing and moaning about both is their winning strategy.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 02:39 PM (Gqar8)

28 Good news, everyone!

Saudi Arabia is going to build a $9m mosque in Cuba!

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 02:39 PM (ccf/V)

29 7 Now, act like government spending should be counted negative to GDP.

And realize that GDP was down a full 1% because government spending was down in Q2.

So...add 1% to the Q2 GDP for the money the government didn't spend, because that's how government spending should be included in GDP.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:34 PM

Agreed!

I want TWO numbers published.

Publish the GDP under the exact same data treatment as the historical series.

ALSO publish a GDP number, ex government spending.

We will never start to reduce the massive debt without people understanding the underlying economic facts.

Posted by: Pillage Idiot at September 30, 2026 02:39 PM (HlyYF)

30 Hacks in Black halt Christa Pike execution.

I feel for the victim Colleen's mother. What a horrible thing to do to her after all these years.

Posted by: Delurker at September 30, 2026 02:40 PM (2Drhq)

31 My fear is the "new coalition" we have is a lot of young men that are a bit flakey.

Our coalition used to be the sort of people that show up every election, upper middle class types that seem to have drifted over to the Dem side.

It used to be Republicans did really well in non-Presidential election years, it was Dem turnout that really dropped.

Posted by: Leupold at September 30, 2026 02:41 PM (87dSN)

32 My wife and will be voting in a midterm for the first time in our 29 years (yeah, I know. 🤦‍♂️. Hope that there are more like us.

Posted by: Turn 2 at September 30, 2026 02:36 PM

Good job!

Can you also invite about five couples more from your "dinner party" friends to also come vote?

Depending upon your state, we really need it!

Posted by: Pillage Idiot at September 30, 2026 02:41 PM (HlyYF)

33 This is the story of Biden's positive GDP numbers, by the way.

One thing I was noting over the last few years...

If you got a 10% return on investments under Biden you were only breaking even because inflation and therefore costs were increasing every year by that same amount. And you can see that by comparing SP500 "gains" against the price of gold (note, mostly flat)

Under the Trump economy with 3% inflation anything over 3% is a real gain...

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:41 PM (sKqQm)

34 >>> Turnout is a big problem. I see a lot of conservatives trying to rally the base into turning out.

There is clearly a psyop at work trying to convince the normies that Trump is making everything worse, vote for dems, they will somehow magically fix it, and not just make things even worse. But it's a psyop fueled with new media like TikTok, and paid influencers shilling for lefties, not just the standard tried-and-true ones. Whether it all works or not, we'll see.

I saw there were signs out on lawns targeting politicians as voting for the Iran war. I guess they decided they can't run on the economy. Let's try the war and see if that sticks.

Posted by: LizLem at September 30, 2026 02:42 PM (Eng1Z)

35 27 So, the economy is doing very well indeed. So to counter this, the Left talks gas gas gas and beef beef beef prices. Pissing and moaning about both is their winning strategy.
Posted by: tubal

Around here the data centers apocalypse is often mentioned as well.

Posted by: Auspex at September 30, 2026 02:42 PM (Y8DZL)

36
- 17 months in a row of ZERO illegal crossings

=================

I'm not sure what counts as a "crossing," because there have been some jet ski traffickers here in Sandy Eggo. They zip into the shore in (polluted) Imperial Beach, their passengers jump off, and they zip away. Border Patrol came dune-buggying out and got some of them, but I don't know how many are making it off the beach.

Posted by: Blonde Morticia at September 30, 2026 02:42 PM (mmrXZ)

37 30 Hacks in Black halt Christa Pike execution.

I feel for the victim Colleen's mother. What a horrible thing to do to her after all these years.
Posted by: Delurker at September 30, 2026 02:40 PM (2Drhq)

Reasons?? Or are reasons only for the Little People?

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 02:42 PM (Gqar8)

38 31 My fear is the "new coalition" we have is a lot of young men that are a bit flakey.

Our coalition used to be the sort of people that show up every election, upper middle class types that seem to have drifted over to the Dem side.

It used to be Republicans did really well in non-Presidential election years, it was Dem turnout that really dropped.

Posted by: Leupold at September 30, 2026 02:41 PM (87dSN)

======

Having high propensity voters and not low propensity voters means you win midterms but lose presidentials.

Obama had this problem.

The issue, though, is that Congress is largely useless, and we've been growing the imperial presidency for a century.

If we have to have a choice between the two, I choose the presidency.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:42 PM (U/fqy)

39 But, but my gas prices are so high!

How much higher are they than when Joey B was doubling the price of everything???

We're still recovering from that.

Posted by: Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _ at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (nqf1u)

40 Saudi Arabia is going to build a $9m mosque in Cuba!
Posted by: Sponge

Good thing those 7th-century goatf***kers don't need electricity.

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (77rzZ)

41 "I won’t allow a man to come at me or point at me"
-- Aja Wilson.

Posted by: Duncanthrax at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (0sNs1)

42 Read earlier that we have the smallest number of government workers this century. Fewer bureaucrats helps the private economy

Posted by: Smell the Glove at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (jivel)

43 I'm kind of surprised that Secretary Bessent hasn't requested on-site auditing and evaluation at the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis in real time. So, they can identify the political hacks that seem to think it's OK to shape the economy to their liking.

Posted by: Orson at September 30, 2026 02:38 PM (dIske)

It works fine, we get one good report then a second one on the revision. Plus all the dumbing down of the stats the Dems do to prop up their crap numbers means things shoot up like a rocket when a non idiot gets in charge.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (uhVAy)

44 I know this hits a nerve with some here, but I think if the Iran altercation never happened, we'd do fine to good in the midterms.

Posted by: Leupold at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (87dSN)

45 Wahahahahahaha.

HYPER
@hyper12p
Translated from Hebrew
I survived a kidnapping attempt, send me nudes

Posted by: Ian S. at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (2ocoG)

46 Its literally all A.I. driven growth. The idea of the economy doing well is basically now like the stock market doing well. Just some shit that sounds good on TV that doesnt translate to daily life.

I believe that about as much as when the government was saying that inflation was under 10% during covid when everything in the stores was rising 25%-50%. Doesn't matter who is running things. All they do is lie.

Meanwhile in reality: Market Absorbs Flood Of Treasury Bills As Yields Rise. The U.S. Treasury has aggressively funded new borrowing with T-bills, reaching 40% of $2.1 trillion in net new debt, far above TBAC’s 15-20% guideline.

They are absolutely killing you with debt. Guess what happens when the next Fed increase comes in due to spiraling inflation??. I don't know if it's possible to bankrupt a country, but Uncle Donny sure is giving it his best

It grew as in more money flowed through not as in we were more productive or increased quality of life. Everything getting more expensive will make the economy as people scrounge to find the last few dollars to buy more expensive necessities.

Posted by: Intercepted Reddit Transmissions brought by the Intrepid AoS Liaison at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM (aBcEh)

47 I see more black pill propaganda than I have seen since... two years ago.

Posted by: ace and garrett at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM (zZu0s)

48 So take 2020-24 as a lesson, don't elect Democrats if you don't want prices to double.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:36 PM (sKqQm)

------------

"But, if prices double -- doesn't that mean all our welfare benefits will double?"

/Free Shit Army, Inc.

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM (4f3B/)

49 35 27 So, the economy is doing very well indeed. So to counter this, the Left talks gas gas gas and beef beef beef prices. Pissing and moaning about both is their winning strategy.
Posted by: tubal

Around here the data centers apocalypse is often mentioned as well.
Posted by: Auspex at September 30, 2026 02:42 PM (Y8DZL)

Why yes, because ceding Chine God-like control over our information systems is a good thing, because - reasons, again.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM (Gqar8)

50 So, the economy is doing very well indeed. So to counter this, the Left talks gas gas gas and beef beef beef prices. Pissing and moaning about both is their winning strategy.
Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 02:39 PM

And it's very effective.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM (ccf/V)

51 @hyper12p
Translated from Hebrew
I survived a kidnapping attempt, send me nudes
Posted by: Ian S. at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (2ocoG)

Bobs and vagene!!!

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 02:45 PM (ccf/V)

52 37 Reasons?? Or are reasons only for the Little People?

The hacks in black want to be fully satisfied that Pike's alleged childhood sexual abuse was considered at trial.

Posted by: Delurker at September 30, 2026 02:45 PM (2Drhq)

53 Why do democrats whine about gas and beef?

They all drive EVs and are vegans.

So they should be happy gas and beef are expensive. Right?

Posted by: nurse ratched at September 30, 2026 02:45 PM (W2Pud)

54 I see more black pill propaganda than I have seen since... two years ago.
Posted by: ace and garrett at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM (zZu0s)
___

Yes there is.

And...is there something I need to know about you two?

Nah...ignorance is sometimes very blissful.

Posted by: SMH at God's mercy at September 30, 2026 02:45 PM (X7pZH)

55 I know this hits a nerve with some here, but I think if the Iran altercation never happened, we'd do fine to good in the midterms.
Posted by: Leupold at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (87dSN)

I think without Iran as a hotpoint, the media would just be spinning something else and harder. The story never changes- just the details.

Posted by: ace and garrett at September 30, 2026 02:45 PM (zZu0s)

56 41 "I won’t allow a man to come at me or point at me"
-- Aja Wilson.
Posted by: Duncanthrax at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (0sNs1)
++++++++++++++++++

Not a psychology major, apparently. If you want something to happen as a sporting event, claim you won't allow it. That's not a deterrent. That's an invitation.

Posted by: Orson at September 30, 2026 02:45 PM (dIske)

57 44 I know this hits a nerve with some here, but I think if the Iran altercation never happened, we'd do fine to good in the midterms.

Posted by: Leupold at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (87dSN)

======

No, we'd still have lost the midterms because Trump was being too mean about immigration which led to the deaths of Goode and Pretti.

And then Trump stopped all immigration enforcement because of the deaths of Goode and Pretti, which means the GOP lost the midterms.

And then Trump was low-key being too aggressive on immigration which led to car chases and bad results, which was going to lose the midterms.

And then Mullin stopped all ICE enforcement with cars, which led was going to lose the midterms.

And then Mullin put the policy back less than a day later, which led to the GOP losing the midterms.

There's always a bullshit narrative.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:45 PM (U/fqy)

58 Hacks in Black halt Christa Pike execution.

I feel for the victim Colleen's mother. What a horrible thing to do to her after all these years.

--

It's a real travesty of justice for that poor mother. I really thought she had no lifeline left and was going to meet her maker at 10am. Nope.

Posted by: Lady in Black at September 30, 2026 02:45 PM (qBdHI)

59 Oh! Off completely platonic sock!

Posted by: Aetius451AD work phone at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (zZu0s)

60 46 Meanwhile in reality: Market Absorbs Flood Of Treasury Bills As Yields Rise. The U.S. Treasury has aggressively funded new borrowing with T-bills, reaching 40% of $2.1 trillion in net new debt, far above TBAC’s 15-20% guideline.

They are absolutely killing you with debt. Guess what happens when the next Fed increase comes in due to spiraling inflation??. I don't know if it's possible to bankrupt a country, but Uncle Donny sure is giving it his best

Posted by: Intercepted Reddit Transmissions brought by the Intrepid AoS Liaison at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM (aBcEh)

=====

Sure sounds like the Fed should have lowered interest rates.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (U/fqy)

61 44 I know this hits a nerve with some here, but I think if the Iran altercation never happened, we'd do fine to good in the midterms.
Posted by: Leupold at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (87dSN)

Coulda woulda shoulda. Reality is, now, we need to get our asses out to vote.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (Gqar8)

62 "Turnout is a big problem. I see a lot of conservatives trying to rally the base into turning out."

I've been screeching about turnout for a long time. It's the key to victory.

For the most part, we have good candidates up against Moloch's retarded cousin who walks with a limp and was just arrested for fucking the baby rather than eating it.

We should have this in the bag. But "should" is doing some heavy lifting. We must turn out. En masse. We can't sit this one out.

Get out and vote the shit out of this thing.

Posted by: Elric The Blade at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (iFTx/)

63

Those gas prices need to come down, mile after mile of communist advertising on every highway.

Posted by: Rev Dr E Buzz PhD Esq at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (VuTBl)

64 Oh! Off completely platonic sock!
Posted by: Aetius451AD work phone at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (zZu0s)
___

See what you did?

Posted by: SMH at God's mercy at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (X7pZH)

65 I pulled the numbers Republicans have gotten versus Dems in off year elections

2022: 54m v 51m
2018: 51m v 60m
2014: 40m v 35m
2010: 45m v 39m

Now obviously that Dem count in 2018 jump looks fake as hell.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (sKqQm)

66 Posted by: ace and garrett at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM

FLASH NEWS ALERT: Temperature of Hades is rapidly approaching 107.64 degrees Kelvin!

Posted by: Duncanthrax at September 30, 2026 02:47 PM (0sNs1)

67 See what you did?
Posted by: SMH at God's mercy at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (X7pZH)

Lol. I regret nothing.

Posted by: Aetius451AD work phone at September 30, 2026 02:47 PM (zZu0s)

68 65 I pulled the numbers Republicans have gotten versus Dems in off year elections

2022: 54m v 51m
2018: 51m v 60m
2014: 40m v 35m
2010: 45m v 39m

Now obviously that Dem count in 2018 jump looks fake as hell.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (sKqQm)

=======

Either Dems were really, really motivated to turnout, or there was the laying of groundwork for cheating.

Or both.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:47 PM (U/fqy)

69 Because Republican voters seem largely stupid.

Staying home and letting Democrats DESTROY THE COUNTRY is a stupid f*cking way to go about things.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer
---

Aw, I don't need to vote. Nobody's going to vote for that dumb Democrat.

Posted by: Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _ at September 30, 2026 02:47 PM (nqf1u)

70 >>> The issue, though, is that Congress is largely useless, and we've been growing the imperial presidency for a century. If we have to have a choice between the two, I choose the presidency.

Too bad the founding fathers didn't put in a red button clause that we can press to flush all the congresscritters down the drain and start over if they are utterly failing at their jobs. Or at least put in term limits or age limits. Scorched earthing the current congress and voting in new people would not be a bad thing every few decades.

I think the current congress has been ranked as the most do-nothing in the history of do-nothing congresses, and that is a very low bar already. Like the fewest bills discussed and passed ever. And they are on vacation again until after midterms.

Supposedly Trump and Vance are war gaming strategies of how to work around congress to get the SAVE Act initiatives in before 2028, regardless of how feckless congress and its bought off politicans are. I wish them Godspeed!

Posted by: LizLem at September 30, 2026 02:47 PM (Eng1Z)

71 Why aren't Republicans out doing good propaganda? 🤔

Posted by: ... at September 30, 2026 02:48 PM (x8rTv)

72 Posted by: ace and garrett at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM

FLASH NEWS ALERT: Temperature of Hades is rapidly approaching 107.64 degrees Kelvin!
Posted by: Duncanthrax at September 30, 2026 02:47 PM (0sNs1)
___

lol

Posted by: SMH at God's mercy at September 30, 2026 02:48 PM (X7pZH)

73 Posted by: Aetius451AD work phone at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (zZu0s)
___

See what you did?
Posted by: SMH at God's mercy at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM

But did it disappoint Ace is the real question.

Posted by: Duncanthrax at September 30, 2026 02:48 PM (0sNs1)

74 I pulled the numbers Republicans have gotten versus Dems in off year elections

2022: 54m v 51m
2018: 51m v 60m
2014: 40m v 35m
2010: 45m v 39m

Now obviously that Dem count in 2018 jump looks fake as hell.
Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (sKqQm)

2018 was the year the GOPe spiked the midterms by quitting en-masse at the last moment. Thanks "Steak and Egger" Gowdy!

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (uhVAy)

75 70 I think the current congress has been ranked as the most do-nothing in the history of do-nothing congresses, and that is a very low bar already. Like the fewest bills discussed and passed ever. And they are on vacation again until after midterms.

Posted by: LizLem at September 30, 2026 02:47 PM (Eng1Z)

=======

The assertion that a do nothing Congress is inherently a bad Congress coming from, especially, conservatives, always makes me wonder...

Congress sucks. Their bills suck. We have too many laws.

Asking Congress to do more just do to more is asking for a whippin'.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (U/fqy)

76 Gas prices are going to have a negative impact for this quarter...

Posted by: jim (in Kalifornia) at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (l3cgK)

77 There is a sense in which the Iran war is helping Trump as it leaves one obvious issue they can campaign on which is something of a trap.

LIVs don't care about the war at all. No dead Americans and they just don't care.

Now, they do care about gas prices which are being driven by the war in large measure.

But here's the trap - can you really run on lowering gas prices as a Dem? And if you do, what do you do when Trump proposes ending the gas tax in Oct and asks congress to come back and vote on it?

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (sKqQm)

78 74 I pulled the numbers Republicans have gotten versus Dems in off year elections

2022: 54m v 51m
2018: 51m v 60m
2014: 40m v 35m
2010: 45m v 39m

Now obviously that Dem count in 2018 jump looks fake as hell.
Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (sKqQm)

2018 was the year the GOPe spiked the midterms by quitting en-masse at the last moment. Thanks "Steak and Egger" Gowdy!

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (uhVAy)

=======

And yet...GOP turnout still spiked. Dem turnout just spiked a whole lot more.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (U/fqy)

79 Would the Democrats talk down the economy to win an election?

In 2020, they destroyed it to win.

Posted by: San Franpsycho at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (RIvkX)

80 GDP up, inflation down. Vote democrat to fix this.

Posted by: Thomas Paine at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (0U5gm)

81 When ever did a Auto-Pen administration report being higher then was knocked down a few months later?

Posted by: Skip at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (Ia/+0)

82 76 Gas prices are going to have a negative impact for this quarter...

Posted by: jim (in Kalifornia) at September 30, 2026 02:49 PM (l3cgK)

=======

The increase happened last quarter.

There's no more inflation to happen unless it goes even higher.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (U/fqy)

83
There's always a bullshit narrative.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison

================

I'm guessing that minus Iran, it would be the Bond-villain connection between Russia and AI. AI would be the new COVID, except it's raging through the internet instead of your bloodstream.

Posted by: Blonde Morticia at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (mmrXZ)

84 Some (C)rap artist named bulletproof was shot and killed in Chicago last night.

I guess he wasn't.

Posted by: Thomas Paine at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (0U5gm)

85 It works fine, we get one good report then a second one on the revision. Plus all the dumbing down of the stats the Dems do to prop up their crap numbers means things shoot up like a rocket when a non idiot gets in charge.
Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (uhVAy)

______________________

I admire your optimism.

Although, I am reminded at how they hid certain statistics, inflated others, and held off on others in the final stretch of the 2024 election to protect Biden's campaign at the time.

Thankfully, Biden had other problems more obvious. But, they did what they could.

Posted by: Orson at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (dIske)

86 >>The issue, though, is that Congress is largely useless, and we've been growing the imperial presidency for a century.

If we have to have a choice between the two, I choose the presidency.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror
----

We'd be safer with a herd of horses.

Posted by: Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _ at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (nqf1u)

87 83
There's always a bullshit narrative.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison

================

I'm guessing that minus Iran, it would be the Bond-villain connection between Russia and AI. AI would be the new COVID, except it's raging through the internet instead of your bloodstream.

Posted by: Blonde Morticia at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (mmrXZ)

======

Good guess.

It would be something, though, no matter what.

"If only Trump has squashed Iran's navy and ended them as a nuclear threat instead of letting this Russia/AI narrative take root, we'd be winning the midterms."

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (U/fqy)

88 When ever did a Auto-Pen administration report being higher then was knocked down a few months later?
Posted by: Skip at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (Ia/+0)

All of the times.

Posted by: Aetius451AD work phone at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (zZu0s)

89 I didn't see this in time for the last thread, but Bibi Netanyahu went to the airport to personally greet the blood-covered passenger who helped subdue the Sudden Jihadi Syndrome sufferer.

https://tinyurl.com/2b4294j4

Posted by: Rodrigo Borgia at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (qlLNh)

90 Even if Pike was SA'd as a child (and she's *very* manipulative so there's good reason to doubt her claims) most abuse victims don't lure romantic rivals into the woods, torture them for hours, bash ther skulls in and then parade a piece of the skull around town to show off to their friends.

Posted by: Delurker at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (2Drhq)

91 They are absolutely killing you with debt. Guess what happens when the next Fed increase comes in due to spiraling inflation??. I don't know if it's possible to bankrupt a country, but Uncle Donny sure is giving it his best

Posted by: Intercepted Reddit Transmissions brought by the Intrepid AoS Liaison at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM (aBcEh)

LOL. Inflating the money supply like Biden did of course has not debt related consequences for the country.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (uhVAy)

92 Posted by: ace and garrett at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM

Wait, Ace married garrett?

Posted by: Ian S. at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (2ocoG)

93 Posted by: Blonde Morticia at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (mmrXZ)

Dropped my wounded Subaru Forrester off at Caliber Collision this morning.

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (77rzZ)

94
I'm not particularly enthused about Mike Rogers as Senator, especially as it removes an armed al-Sayad from the senate democrat caucus chamber where he could do a lot of good quickly.

Posted by: Auspex at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (Y8DZL)

95
Either Dems were really, really motivated to turnout, or there was the laying of groundwork for cheating.

The Dem gain in 2018 was 70%. The next closed gain was 28%

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (sKqQm)

96 Headline (NY Post):

"Iran publishes propaganda letter urging US voters to punish Trump in midterm elections"

Failed hijacking +own goal. Our chances are improving.

Posted by: mrp at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (rj6Yv)

97 Paxton had an affair so I'm going to vote for the pedo-adjacent socialist twink that thinks Jesus Christ is just some guy but turning kids trans and sterilizing them is God's will.

It's what True Christians must do.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 02:52 PM (3cUTc)

98 Even if Pike was SA'd as a child (and she's *very* manipulative so there's good reason to doubt her claims) most abuse victims don't lure romantic rivals into the woods, torture them for hours, bash ther skulls in and then parade a piece of the skull around town to show off to their friends.
Posted by: Delurker at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (2Drhq)

Did the victim do the abuse?

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:52 PM (uhVAy)

99 I know this hits a nerve with some here, but I think if the Iran altercation never happened, we'd do fine to good in the midterms.
Posted by: Leupold at September 30, 2026 02:43 PM (87dSN)

the stat I heard was that pre-Iran the US economy was in a -0.7% deflation.
Don't have a cite, and can't find the report again, but that is what I heard.

Posted by: Kindltot at September 30, 2026 02:52 PM (rbvCR)

100 97 Paxton had an affair so I'm going to vote for the pedo-adjacent socialist twink that thinks Jesus Christ is just some guy but turning kids trans and sterilizing them is God's will.

It's what True Christians must do.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 02:52 PM (3cUTc)

========

When Paxton wins by 9, people are going to be all, "I knew he was going to win, never had a doubt, but it was way too close to call. Cornyn would have won by 10."

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:52 PM (U/fqy)

101 90 Even if Pike was SA'd as a child (and she's *very* manipulative so there's good reason to doubt her claims) most abuse victims don't lure romantic rivals into the woods, torture them for hours, bash ther skulls in and then parade a piece of the skull around town to show off to their friends.
Posted by: Delurker at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (2Drhq)

We live in the Dawning of a New Age of Protected Criminality.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 02:52 PM (Gqar8)

102 There's always a bullshit narrative.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison

================

I'm guessing that minus Iran, it would be the Bond-villain connection between Russia and AI. AI would be the new COVID, except it's raging through the internet instead of your bloodstream.

Posted by: Blonde Morticia at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (mmrXZ)

----------

"TRUMP WAS AN EPSTEIN ISLAND PEDO -- RELEASE THE VIDEOS!!! REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!"

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (4f3B/)

103 They are absolutely killing you with debt. Guess what happens when the next Fed increase comes in due to spiraling inflation??. I don't know if it's possible to bankrupt a country, but Uncle Donny sure is giving it his best

I'd like to see Trump take a few trillion off the budget, you with me Mr Reddit?

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (sKqQm)

104 There's always a bullshit narrative.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison

Tell me about it.

Posted by: zombie Russ Meyer, who can't get his films definitively ranked by TJM at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (0sNs1)

105 When ever did a Auto-Pen administration report being higher then was knocked down a few months later?
Posted by: Skip at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (Ia/+0)

All of the times.
Posted by: Aetius451AD work phone at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (zZu0s)
====

The algorithmic things need adjustment.

Posted by: mrp at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (rj6Yv)

106 102
"TRUMP WAS AN EPSTEIN ISLAND PEDO -- RELEASE THE VIDEOS!!! REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!"

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (4f3B/)

========

Massie losing his primary seems to have killed that as a political narrative outside of the fringes.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:54 PM (U/fqy)

107 104 There's always a bullshit narrative.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison

Tell me about it.

Posted by: zombie Russ Meyer, who can't get his films definitively ranked by TJM at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (0sNs1)

=====

When I'm good and ready!

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:54 PM (U/fqy)

108 Yep. Punching out a girl who you think is after your boyfriend isn't worthy of the death penalty (even if she dies, if you weren't intending to kill her).

However, luring her to a remote location, bashing in her skull, and (this is the truly disturbing part) keeping a piece of the skull as a souvenir IS.

Posted by: Rodrigo Borgia at September 30, 2026 02:54 PM (qlLNh)

109 92 Posted by: ace and garrett at September 30, 2026 02:44 PM

Wait, Ace married garrett?
Posted by: Ian S.

They're living in sin! Filthy, filthy sin!!!!

Posted by: Admiral Ackbar at September 30, 2026 02:54 PM (aBcEh)

110 >>@OpenSourceZone
·
3h
>>Middle East crude exports recover to per war levels per JPMorgan

>>Middle East crude exports have rebounded to 98% of prewar levels, reaching roughly 17.5 million barrels per day

Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 02:54 PM (viF8m)

111 I admire your optimism. Although, I am reminded at how they hid certain statistics, inflated others, and held off on others in the final stretch of the 2024 election to protect Biden's campaign at the time.

Thankfully, Biden had other problems more obvious. But, they did what they could.
Posted by: Orson at September 30, 2026 02:50 PM (dIske)

I just remember Trump rolling out stats that Blacks and Hispanics were suddenly doing better than the last 50 years that nobody could refute, which I assume was just the thumb on the scale for Biden working for Trump.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:55 PM (uhVAy)

112 Sure sounds like the Fed should have lowered interest rates.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (U/fqy)

I think Bessent rolled a bunch of high interest 10 and 30 year Treasuries in to lower interest Treasuries.
I could be wrong about that.

Posted by: Kindltot at September 30, 2026 02:55 PM (rbvCR)

113 @RapidResponse47
@AGToddBlanche: "Just a few minutes ago, the DOJ filed a Judicial Misconduct Complaint with the Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals against all but one District Court judge in the District of Minnesota for violating various judicial canons."

More of this ^^^ please!

Posted by: IrishEi ?! at September 30, 2026 02:55 PM (3ImbR)

114 110 >>@OpenSourceZone
·
3h
>>Middle East crude exports recover to per war levels per JPMorgan

>>Middle East crude exports have rebounded to 98% of prewar levels, reaching roughly 17.5 million barrels per day

Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 02:54 PM (viF8m)

======

Headline is stupid. Middle East exports of crude have been at pre-war levels for months.

What's new is pre-war levels of crude through the strait specifically are now being confirmed by some major sources to be pre-war levels, but that's been true for weeks now, since before the Saudi pipeline attack.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:55 PM (U/fqy)

115 > "TRUMP WAS AN EPSTEIN ISLAND PEDO -- RELEASE THE VIDEOS!!! REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!"
Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (4f3B/)

They never explain why the "Biden-Harris Admininstration" didn't "release the Epstein files".

They had four full years to do this. Nothing was released even when Commielay was running against Trump.

Posted by: Rodrigo Borgia at September 30, 2026 02:56 PM (qlLNh)

116 Wait, Ace married garrett?

Germany has Alice Weidel and Sarah Bossard

We have Ace and Garrett?

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:56 PM (sKqQm)

117
>>Middle East crude exports have rebounded to 98% of prewar levels, reaching roughly 17.5 million barrels per day
Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 02:54 PM (viF8m)

Just watched Tousi and the IRGC and proxies just hit oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Syria...

Posted by: It's me donna at September 30, 2026 02:56 PM (+gK6I)

118 112 Sure sounds like the Fed should have lowered interest rates.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:46 PM (U/fqy)

I think Bessent rolled a bunch of high interest 10 and 30 year Treasuries in to lower interest Treasuries.
I could be wrong about that.

Posted by: Kindltot at September 30, 2026 02:55 PM (rbvCR)

====

It's my understanding that most of the US debt is 2-year. But that's half-remembered information I read once and never followed up on.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:56 PM (U/fqy)

119 But did it disappoint Ace is the real question.
Posted by: Duncanthrax at September 30, 2026 02:48 PM (0sNs1)

When is he NOT disappointed in us?

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 02:56 PM (ccf/V)

120 They are absolutely killing you with debt. Guess what happens when the next Fed increase comes in due to spiraling inflation??. I don't know if it's possible to bankrupt a country, but Uncle Donny sure is giving it his best

I'd like to see Trump take a few trillion off the budget, you with me Mr Reddit?
Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (sKqQm)

That's what tariffs do, ya leftist twit. Free money from foreigners (the OP not mr 18-1). But they oppose those too.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:57 PM (uhVAy)

121 However, luring her to a remote location, bashing in her skull, and (this is the truly disturbing part) keeping a piece of the skull as a souvenir IS.
Posted by: Rodrigo Borgia

What's the big deal? She didn't need it anymore!

Posted by: Admiral Ackbar at September 30, 2026 02:57 PM (aBcEh)

122 I think the problem is much deeper than intentional manipulation to make Republicans look bad, although there is that too.

The entire Economics Industrial Complex is built around a model of the world optimized for government and wall st. An obvious example is GDP -- taking money from A and giving it to B counts as "P" in GDP. That is nonsense. Selling off your core competencies for lower cost of production is "profit". Earlier I saw a governor complaining that cutting SNAP was going to kill their economy.

This all makes it very had to do things that are common sense right. But the ruling class is so disconnected from the real economy that the fly by numbers and the numbers are all crap.

Posted by: bob (moron inbobnitus) at September 30, 2026 02:57 PM (xPxza)

123 But he - like every lefty - simply can't connect 'cause' to 'effect.'
Posted by: Washington Nearsider

They are programmed not to.

Posted by: weft cut-loop at September 30, 2026 02:57 PM (nEUC6)

124 But that's half-remembered information I read once and never followed up on.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison

So, you're kinda lyin' about that whole illiteracy thing, I guess.

What an asshole thing to do.

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (77rzZ)

125 Just watched Tousi and the IRGC and proxies just hit oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Syria...
Posted by: It's me donna at September 30, 2026 02:56 PM (+gK6I)

I don't think Tousi is personally involved or his operation has *really* evolved a lot since he moved to the USA.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (uhVAy)

126 @AGToddBlanche: "Just a few minutes ago, the DOJ filed a Judicial Misconduct Complaint with the Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals against all but one District Court judge in the District of Minnesota for violating various judicial canons."

Mmmmmmm.......cannons........

https://shorturl.fm/icIU4

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (ccf/V)

127 Currently the GOPe is desperately trying to help Talarico by shaming Christians out of voting for Paxton.
"Paxton is attacking his religion (and yours too)!" they fake gasp.

It's the usual deception:
That "character matters" and it's a sin upon you to vote for men who have sinned.
And so what if that means a godless, blaspheming heretic wins, well you can't be blamed--your conscious won't permit you to vote for a sinner.
You are blameless--Republican should know better than to nominate a sinner.

Never mind that standard--that only Republicans are held to--the "vote for the more holy man," has never resulted in a win for Republicans.
But has an unblemished record of letting radical leftist win.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (3cUTc)

128 Meanwhile, Canada's economy is circling the bowl.

Elbows Up, icebacks.

Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (viF8m)

129 124 But that's half-remembered information I read once and never followed up on.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison

So, you're kinda lyin' about that whole illiteracy thing, I guess.

What an asshole thing to do.

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (77rzZ)

=====

I read tea leaves.

Keep up.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (U/fqy)

130 Hopefully the Rs will shock the left and sweep the midterms, but we are in some trouble with the 10-year Treasury rate at 5.3%. AI insists I can't estimate government debt service as the product of the Treasury yield and the debt, but I keep doing it anyway.

0.053 x $40 trillion = $2.12 trillion. Per year.

Posted by: Oglebay at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (2ap+5)

131 They never explain why the "Biden-Harris Admininstration" didn't "release the Epstein files".

2020-2024: The Epstein files are a hoax you stupid hicks. They don't exist! There are no pedos in government. He was just one guy and his perverted girlfriend. Stop just calling people you don't like pedos.

Early 2025: Trump won't release the Epstein files! He's a pedo along with everyone in the R party

Late 2025: Trump didn't release all of the Epstein files! There are super sekret ones that say he's a pedo!

2026: Uh, let's just talk about the Epstein class cuz like that's the important point in all this, no one ever cared about what was actually in the files, that's like Trump misinformation

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 02:59 PM (sKqQm)

132 Even if Pike was SA'd as a child (and she's *very* manipulative so there's good reason to doubt her claims) most abuse victims don't lure romantic rivals into the woods, torture them for hours, bash ther skulls in and then parade a piece of the skull around town to show off to their friends.
Posted by: Delurker at September 30, 2026 02:51 PM (2Drhq)
_______

Her tales of abuse are almost certainly made up. Her claim is that most every adult male in her life sexually abused her. She also claims her "boyfriend" abused her (the same boyfriend she hated

Next week, she'll claim that ace and garrett roofied her and then made he watch their gay sex.

She is pure evil. There were also two other girls with her at the murder. They tortured Slemmer for hours, and then Pike smashed her head in with a rock.

I don't care if Pike's (bullshit) claims of abuse are true. Fry her fucking ass.

Posted by: Elric The Blade at September 30, 2026 02:59 PM (iFTx/)

133 130 Hopefully the Rs will shock the left and sweep the midterms, but we are in some trouble with the 10-year Treasury rate at 5.3%. AI insists I can't estimate government debt service as the product of the Treasury yield and the debt, but I keep doing it anyway.

0.053 x $40 trillion = $2.12 trillion. Per year.

Posted by: Oglebay at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (2ap+5)

=======

It would be funnier if Democrats barely win the House on the back of 5 or so districts that Trump won by about 5.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:59 PM (U/fqy)

134 Maybe Bulletproof was a Werewolf and it was a silver bullet

Posted by: Skip at September 30, 2026 03:00 PM (Ia/+0)

135 When is he NOT disappointed in us?
Posted by: Sponge

When he can't tell you how disappointed he is in us.

Posted by: Auspex at September 30, 2026 03:00 PM (Y8DZL)

136 "TRUMP WAS AN EPSTEIN ISLAND PEDO -- RELEASE THE VIDEOS!!! REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!"
Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 02:53 PM (4f3B/)

They never explain why the "Biden-Harris Admininstration" didn't "release the Epstein files".

They had four full years to do this. Nothing was released even when Commielay was running against Trump.

Posted by: Rodrigo Borgia at September 30, 2026 02:56 PM (qlLNh)

it wasn't Rush Limbaugh and Crowder at Epstein's welcome home from a Pedophile conviction party in NYC. It was Democrats and the MSM talking heads.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:00 PM (uhVAy)

137 They are programmed not to. /i]

My favorite lefty headline of all time was "Crime is down but prisons are still filling up!"

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:00 PM (sKqQm)

138
When he can't tell you how disappointed he is in us.
Posted by: Auspex at September 30, 2026 03:00 PM (Y8DZL)

This tracks.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:01 PM (ccf/V)

139 The media is the enemy.

Posted by: Zombie Andrew Breitbart at September 30, 2026 03:01 PM (36x1j)

140 Her tales of abuse are almost certainly made up. Her claim is that most every adult male in her life sexually abused her. She also claims her "boyfriend" abused her (the same boyfriend she hated

Posted by: Elric The Blade at September 30, 2026 02:59 PM (iFTx/)

If true, her targeting for revenge is way off and thus she deserves punishment.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:02 PM (uhVAy)

141 Ghislane was invited to Clinton's daughter's wedding. This is after Epstein's charges became public knowledge and before Ghislane got her own grift.

So there is only one reason you invite her - you want to keep Epstein close.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:02 PM (sKqQm)

142 The media is the enemy.
Posted by: Zombie Andrew Breitbart at September 30, 2026 03:01 PM (36x1j)

https://youtu.be/FhSy-6VqIww

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:02 PM (ccf/V)

143 Why is it that estimated growth rates always have to be revised downwards for Democrats and upwards for Republicans?

Because it works like this:

Bureaucrat receives an envelope from a go-between to a hedge fund that trades on the news. Among the bulk in the envelope are the "Numbers To Report".

The hedge fund sets up the trades before The Numbers are released. Algos do their thing and the hedge fund manager buys another beach house.

A few days after the first report, The Real Numbers are passed to the go-between, the hedge fund people consider whose in office and make adjustments up or down and place their Revised Number bets.

The Revised Numbers are released.

Posted by: Community Notes at September 30, 2026 03:02 PM (xE0sV)

144 IMHO, this is the trap that FDR fell into. Higher uncertainty increases risk. Increased risk demands higher profit. So by the numbers, producing the same amount under duress looks good.

He increased uncertainty and the numbers he went by showed success even though less was produced and people starved.

Trump is doing the opposite - he is trying to reduce risk and reduce obstacles but the models don't account for that.

Posted by: bob (moron inbobnitus) at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (xPxza)

145 There are two places where you see stories that Republicans are going to sit out the midterms:

The media and online--and it's all anecdotes.

No one in real life is actually polling Republicans.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (3cUTc)

146 The media is the enemy.

Posted by: Zombie Andrew Breitbart at September 30, 2026 03:01 PM (36x1j)

-----------

AKA The Enemedia.

[h/t commenter ellipsis ("...")]

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (4f3B/)

147 Why does the economic vibe feel kind of off? Is that just media messaging? Big ticket items like rent and cars and houses seem insane to me. The prices are unbelievable. Cash for clunkers bears some responsibility.

Posted by: Max Power at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (SwyyQ)

148 0.053 x $40 trillion = $2.12 trillion. Per year.
Posted by: Oglebay at September 30, 2026 02:58 PM (2ap+5)

So less than what two blue states do in fraud ? Workable.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:04 PM (uhVAy)

149 I hadn't heard about this other murderess until this week. Good Lord. There's a lot of utterly whackjob women out there.

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 03:04 PM (77rzZ)

150 145 There are two places where you see stories that Republicans are going to sit out the midterms:

The media and online--and it's all anecdotes.

No one in real life is actually polling Republicans.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (3cUTc)

======

You mean the polling firms that have missed several major races by double digits in the past few months, solely because they can't poll the white working class effectively, the polls that say that men are going to swing about 10-15 points to the left from 2024 despite being rather inelastic in their voting habits over the last 20 years, are not getting an accurate picture of the electorate?

Crazy.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:05 PM (U/fqy)

151 Bill Clinton visited Epstein Island many times, why not a payback to Chelsea?

Posted by: Skip at September 30, 2026 03:05 PM (Ia/+0)

152 It's my understanding that most of the US debt is 2-year. But that's half-remembered information I read once and never followed up on.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 02:56 PM (U/fqy)

I know that Yellen issued a lot of 2 year bonds and I am told it was a bid to manage the difference between the bond rates of London and Brussels, but I don't understand the mechanism. I think the Euros were buying low interest bonds to back their own bonds

Posted by: Kindltot at September 30, 2026 03:05 PM (rbvCR)

153 If this election and the one in 28 were marbles, we are talking about all of them.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:05 PM (Gqar8)

154 @AGToddBlanche: "Just a few minutes ago, the DOJ filed a Judicial Misconduct Complaint with the Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals against all but one District Court judge in the District of Minnesota for violating various judicial canons."

From what I've seen, I prefer Lorna Hajdini's cannons https://tinyurl.com/36zwjfsz over most judicial canons.

Posted by: Admiral Ackbar at September 30, 2026 03:06 PM (aBcEh)

155 Once it became widely known that Reid Hoffman, Democrat mega donor and the fat POS who paid for E J Carroll's farce of a trial among other things, was besties with Epstein a lot of the air in that "scandal" went away.

Epstein was always more closely tied to the left and the establishment because he was a CIA asset.

Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 03:06 PM (viF8m)

156 *markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted
**markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted
***markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted
****markets aren't tanking as many experts predicted
_ghost of Maynard Ferguson

Posted by: Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _ at September 30, 2026 02:36 PM (nqf1u)

Played to the tune of Gonna Fly Now.

Posted by: OneEyedJack at September 30, 2026 03:06 PM (zafwz)

157 Hey, Democrats are really going to kill it this year now that they got the explicit endorsement of the IRGC.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:06 PM (U/fqy)

158 Why does the economic vibe feel kind of off? Is that just media messaging? Big ticket items like rent and cars and houses seem insane to me. The prices are unbelievable. Cash for clunkers bears some responsibility.
Posted by: Max Power at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (SwyyQ)

they quote rent prices in NYC, which has been rent controlled by a century, mismanaged for even longer by Democrats exclusively, and is now run by a terror loving commie.

Car prices are high because they pretty much declared all used cars obsolete and illegal in 5 years.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (uhVAy)

159 LAME

Kalshi
@Kalshi
We’re partnering with CBS News to bring prediction market data to their midterm elections coverage.

11:02 AM · Sep 30, 2026

Posted by: Mark1971 at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (/OKHJ)

160 Another lie that the GOPe is spreading is that Paxton is a "lazy campaigner."
It's a deflation tactic of "and if he doesn't want it, why should you vote for him?"

I haven't voted in a R primary in near 8 years; only the general.

And I'm getting flyers from Paxton near every other day.
Plus texts near daily.

Way, way more than Cruz ever did; any other candidate in TX for that matter.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (3cUTc)

161 Why does the economic vibe feel kind of off? Is that just media messaging? Big ticket items like rent and cars and houses seem insane to me. The prices are unbelievable. Cash for clunkers bears some responsibility.
Posted by: Max Power at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (SwyyQ)

Illegals need housing and cars, and often get discounts on loans.
Also, Private Equity firms have to invest in something so they often invest in real estate, and need to either be profitable or hide the decrease in value, and have been known to sell real estate between themselves, or to themselves on paper to re-enforce the paper value of the holdings.

Posted by: Kindltot at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (rbvCR)

162 159 LAME

Kalshi
@Kalshi
We’re partnering with CBS News to bring prediction market data to their midterm elections coverage.

11:02 AM · Sep 30, 2026

Posted by: Mark1971 at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (/OKHJ)

=======

According to Kalshi, Wang was a 95% favorite to win the Wisconsin Democrat governor's nomination.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:08 PM (U/fqy)

163
Epstein was always more closely tied to the left and the establishment because he was a CIA asset.

I think he was primarily British Intelligence, and him ensnaring Prince Andrew seems the most obvious proof to me because what other country would even care?

But as we saw many times the American Nat Sec folks abused 5 Eyes repeatedly.

Note, you'll find a lot of discussion online that Ghislane's father did work for Israel, and he certainly did. But he also worked for the Brits...

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:08 PM (sKqQm)

164 161 Why does the economic vibe feel kind of off? Is that just media messaging? Big ticket items like rent and cars and houses seem insane to me. The prices are unbelievable. Cash for clunkers bears some responsibility.
Posted by: Max Power at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (SwyyQ)

=======

Where 287g agreements exist between local police forces and DHS, rents are outright declining.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (U/fqy)

165 Her tales of abuse are almost certainly made up. Her claim is that most every adult male in her life sexually abused her. She also claims her "boyfriend" abused her (the same boyfriend she hated

Posted by: Elric The Blade at September 30, 2026 02:59 PM (iFTx/)

If true, her targeting for revenge is way off and thus she deserves punishment.
Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:02 PM (uhVAy)
_____

Yup. It was clearly premeditated murder in the coldest of cold blood. Pike murdered her romantic rival after torturing her. The death penalty was made for cases like this.

Sure, Pike claimed at trial that she only wanted to "scare" Slemmer but things got out of control. The jury didn't believe this obvious bullshit, but that was a different time.

Today, women aren't responsible for anything they do, no matter how heinous or intentional. Fry this witch now.

Posted by: Elric The Blade at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (iFTx/)

166 @Kalshi
We’re partnering with CBS News to bring prediction market data to their midterm elections coverage.

11:02 AM · Sep 30, 2026

Posted by: Mark1971 at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (/OKHJ)

Tell me you don't want to be taken seriously without telling me you don't want to be taken seriously.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (ccf/V)

167 You mean the polling firms that have missed several major races by double digits in the past few months, solely because they can't poll the white working class effectively, the polls that say that men are going to swing about 10-15 points to the left from 2024 despite being rather inelastic in their voting habits over the last 20 years, are not getting an accurate picture of the electorate?

Crazy.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:05 PM (U/fqy)

Everyone hates Trump except for 98 percent of the people who voted him in. People don't vote 98 percent for the Pope or your grandma.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (uhVAy)

168 Let’s talk about the price of Arugula now. Remember that bullshit? Anyone here know the price of Kale?

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (Gqar8)

169 The economy vibe is off because people are used to 3% inflation, not 10+% like we had for 4 years under Biden...

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:10 PM (sKqQm)

170 There are two places where you see stories that Republicans are going to sit out the midterms:

The media and online--and it's all anecdotes.

No one in real life is actually polling Republicans.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (3cUTc)

------------

Actual Journalist Salena Zito came to national prominence in 2016 describing how the media & online narratives & anecdotes had Trump getting crushed -- while she was traveling all over (the mostly flyover and formerly blue collar industrial towns of) America where it was clear Trump was going to steamroll Killary.

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 03:10 PM (4f3B/)

171 Anyone here know the price of Kale?
Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (Gqar

Could be free and I wouldn't eat it...

Posted by: It's me donna at September 30, 2026 03:10 PM (+gK6I)

172 >>I think he was primarily British Intelligence, and him ensnaring Prince Andrew seems the most obvious proof to me because what other country would even care?

Tomato, tomato.

There's a reason British intel was involved in the Russia hoax.

Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 03:11 PM (viF8m)

173 According to Kalshi, Wang was a 95% favorite to win the Wisconsin Democrat governor's nomination.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:08 PM (U/fqy)

How could those wise 'investors' know that Democrats would cheat? Just because it happens in every election in every city and state in the country since 1800.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:11 PM (uhVAy)

174 Tell me you don't want to be taken seriously without telling me you don't want to be taken seriously.
Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (ccf/V)
====

I was trying to think of something pithy but this works.

Posted by: San Franpsycho at September 30, 2026 03:12 PM (RIvkX)

175 no one will ever read what i write

and hobo ass is the best tasting ass

Posted by: Sid at September 30, 2026 03:12 PM (rHWcc)

176 Let’s talk about the price of Arugula now. Remember that bullshit? Anyone here know the price of Kale?
Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (Gqar

Piper does.

It's great for getting stubborn stains out of grout.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:12 PM (uhVAy)

177 173 According to Kalshi, Wang was a 95% favorite to win the Wisconsin Democrat governor's nomination.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:08 PM (U/fqy)

How could those wise 'investors' know that Democrats would cheat? Just because it happens in every election in every city and state in the country since 1800.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:11 PM (uhVAy)

=======

What if polling post-2024 is not about informing the public but about manipulating the betting markets and making insiders money?

Would that explain polling behavior more or less than them trying to get it right and just being kind of not good at it?

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:12 PM (U/fqy)

178 The economic strength is causing interest rates to rise (people are finding better uses for their money than Govt debt). That's a bummer for investors as asset prices decline when borrowing costs go up. It is a paradox. But workers are getting raises. So maybe it's better to narrow the wealth spread while all boats rise.

Posted by: actually inside the beltway at September 30, 2026 03:13 PM (Hpgos)

179 Let’s talk about the price of Arugula now. Remember that bullshit? Anyone here know the price of Kale?

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:09 PM (Gqar

-----------

How much money did The Mooch make in Arugala Futures?

/Killary's Cattle Futures

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 03:13 PM (4f3B/)

180 "this economy is worse than the Great Depression" is a take, for sure.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:13 PM (U/fqy)

181 Here in Missouri the Supreme Court has stepped in and prevented us from voting for the Wrong People. We Love Big Brother!!!!

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:14 PM (Gqar8)

182 What if polling post-2024 is not about informing the public but about manipulating the betting markets and making insiders money?

What kind of polling firm would ruin their reputation to make a quick buck!?!?!

Posted by: Ann Selzer at September 30, 2026 03:15 PM (aBcEh)

183 162 159 LAME

Kalshi
@Kalshi
We’re partnering with CBS News to bring prediction market data to their midterm elections coverage.

11:02 AM · Sep 30, 2026

Posted by: Mark1971 at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (/OKHJ)

=======

According to Kalshi, Wang was a 95% favorite to win the Wisconsin Democrat governor's nomination.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:08 PM (U/fqy)

It was mentioned at the MoRe, but still bears repeating: RCP's average poll of polls is garbage, due to the garbage polls put in there to game the system. Prediction markets are garbage, due to campaigns (or their surrogates) distorting the market with garbage trades.

Posted by: Darrell Harris at September 30, 2026 03:15 PM (0CU3H)

184 What if polling post-2024 is not about informing the public but about manipulating the betting markets and making insiders money?

51% of polymarket earnings go to .1% of the bettors so its a basically a pump and dump scheme...

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:15 PM (sKqQm)

185 What if polling post-2024 is not about informing the public but about manipulating the betting markets and making insiders money?

Would that explain polling behavior more or less than them trying to get it right and just being kind of not good at it?
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:12 PM (U/fqy)

Well, the house always wins as they say. I just think its funny that the news services still pay for bullshit polls and now will pay for access to bullshit non polls to continue putting up crap as opposed to news.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:15 PM (uhVAy)

186 lol tubal

Posted by: SMH at God's mercy at September 30, 2026 03:16 PM (X7pZH)

187 Why does the economic vibe feel kind of off? Is that just media messaging? Big ticket items like rent and cars and houses seem insane to me. The prices are unbelievable. Cash for clunkers bears some responsibility.
Posted by: Max Power at September 30, 2026 03:03 PM (SwyyQ)
______

Biden's avalanche of inflation can't be reversed. Trump cannot roll back four years of price increases.

And high housing and rent prices are being cherry-picked by doomsayers. In fact, rent and housing prices are lower in many if not areas of the country.

Even in big blue cities, where rent and housing is very expensive, there are reasonable bargains out there.

Go to any renting or buying website, put in an area, and you will find reasonable prices. To be sure, these listings might not be the 3,500 sf newly-built luxurious housing that everyone wants, but luxury was never cheap, ever.

Posted by: Elric The Blade at September 30, 2026 03:16 PM (iFTx/)

188 Frank Luntz. The fat guy with the bad toupee?

Posted by: wth at September 30, 2026 03:16 PM (UjdFS)

189 What if polling post-2024 is not about informing the public but about manipulating the betting markets and making insiders money?

What kind of polling firm would ruin their reputation to make a quick buck!?!?!
Posted by: Ann Selzer at September 30, 2026 03:15 PM (aBcEh)

that's why prostitutes are a myth and always have been.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:16 PM (uhVAy)

190
Could be free and I wouldn't eat it...

Posted by: It's me donna at September 30, 2026 03:10 PM (+gK6I)

Were Piper still with us, she'd be hardest hit.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:16 PM (ccf/V)

191 This is all a distraction from the Epstein and UAP Files.

Posted by: Duncanthrax at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (0sNs1)

192 Unexpectedly.

>>The Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a key indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector in the Chicago region, has shown a significant uptick. The latest data reveals an actual reading of 58.8, substantially exceeding the forecasted figure of 51.2. This robust performance signals a strong expansion in the manufacturing sector, as any reading above 50 indicates growth.

https://tinyurl.com/pk8znyr7

Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (viF8m)

193 One of the goofiest things I'm seeing on X is "the blue wave appears to be largely confined to red states" and that explains why Rs are going to lose the House and Senate.

No really, they're serious.
R's in red states are totally demoralized.
Dems in red states are fired up and ready for war.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (3cUTc)

194 181 Here in Missouri the Supreme Court has stepped in and prevented us from voting for the Wrong People. We Love Big Brother!!!!
Posted by: tubal

Mary Cloggenstein's cousin?

Posted by: Admiral Ackbar at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (aBcEh)

195 192 Unexpectedly.

>>The Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a key indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector in the Chicago region, has shown a significant uptick. The latest data reveals an actual reading of 58.8, substantially exceeding the forecasted figure of 51.2. This robust performance signals a strong expansion in the manufacturing sector, as any reading above 50 indicates growth.

https://tinyurl.com/pk8znyr7

Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (viF8m)

=======

Worst economy ever.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (U/fqy)

196 Based on 2026 numbers, if full Social Security benefits were to be paid from general revenue rather than the trust fund, that be $270 billion. So a drop in the bucket compared to debt service - problem solved.

Posted by: Oglebay at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (2ap+5)

197 There's always a bullshit narrative.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison
========
Thanks for the appreciation TJM.

Posted by: the media at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (E4rtv)

198 Posted by: Sid at September 30, 2026 03:12 PM (rHWcc)

You DICK!!!!

Posted by: Jeff Spicoli at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (ccf/V)

199 Another lie that the GOPe is spreading is that Paxton is a "lazy campaigner."
It's a deflation tactic of "and if he doesn't want it, why should you vote for him?"

------------

Yeah, that's been the GOPee JournoList talking point since Cornyn got butthurt.

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (4f3B/)

200 Co-pilot is in Saudi custody being interrogated.

Oh well.

Don't think his god is going to be of much use to him.

Posted by: SMH at God's mercy at September 30, 2026 03:18 PM (X7pZH)

201
Dropped my wounded Subaru Forrester off at Caliber Collision this morning.
Posted by: Bulg

===============

I found one near me!

Posted by: Blonde Morticia at September 30, 2026 03:18 PM (mmrXZ)

202 Canada wants the Dems to win midterms, so everything Carney and the Liberals are doing is to do what THEY think will torpedo DJT.

The domestic and international MSM want the Dems to win the midterms, so everything EVERYTHING they post and publish will be tailored as an anti-DJT hit piece.

Iran wants the Dems to win the midterms, so every military strike and terrorist act they commit is devoted to swaying US voters against the US Administration.

Every state-sponsored act harmful to America committed around the globe is focused on the US electorate for the purpose of swaying US senate and house races.

Biggest set of psyops in world history.

Posted by: mrp at September 30, 2026 03:18 PM (rj6Yv)

203 LAME

Kalshi
@Kalshi
We’re partnering with CBS News to bring prediction market data to their midterm elections coverage.

11:02 AM · Sep 30, 2026
Posted by: Mark1971 at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (/OKHJ)
_______

Kalshi is desperate for something after the 9th circuit appeals court shitcanned their entire sports-betting business, at least in that circuit (which includes Nevada).

Posted by: Elric The Blade at September 30, 2026 03:18 PM (iFTx/)

204 I was trying to think of something pithy but this works.
Posted by: San Franpsycho

Don't lemont it.

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 03:18 PM (77rzZ)

205 51% of polymarket earnings go to .1% of the bettors so its a basically a pump and dump scheme...
Posted by: 18-1

You know who else runs a pump and dump scheme?

Posted by: Andrew Tate at September 30, 2026 03:18 PM (aBcEh)

206 191 This is all a distraction from the Epstein and UAP Files.
Posted by: Duncanthrax
======
That's what we said!!!!!

Posted by: the media at September 30, 2026 03:19 PM (E4rtv)

207 I was trying to think of something pithy but this works.
Posted by: San Franpsycho at September 30, 2026 03:12 PM

I, myself, think about pithy alot.

Posted by: Mike Tyson at September 30, 2026 03:19 PM (0sNs1)

208 I found one near me!
Posted by: Blonde Morticia

Great!

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 03:19 PM (77rzZ)

209 Think of the Congress as an FlyDubai flight. Democrats are the terrorists trying to hijack the plane and crash the economy. We're the passengers, jumping up to beat the shit out of the terrorists and save the country.

Posted by: Huck Follywood at September 30, 2026 03:19 PM (v3w5Z)

210 You know who else runs a pump and dump scheme?

Never trust a man that wear capris with no socks...

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:19 PM (sKqQm)

211 193 One of the goofiest things I'm seeing on X is "the blue wave appears to be largely confined to red states" and that explains why Rs are going to lose the House and Senate.

No really, they're serious.
R's in red states are totally demoralized.
Dems in red states are fired up and ready for war.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:17 PM (3cUTc)

==

Waves have never, ever worked like that.

The biggest crests are in the places where the party who is benefiting from the wave are entrenched.

So, you'd expect to see New York or Illinois or California to be even more blue than normal in a blue wave, all while deep red states do shift to the left, but only a bit. Turnout for blue goes up. Turnout goes down for red. But it's uneven and never enough to undo red state advantages entirely.

So, you wouldn't expect to see a Trump+14 state to become a D+5 state. You'd expect it to be like a GOP+9 state or something.

While also expecting D+20 states to become D+30 states.

Oh, by the way, CA is looking like a D underperformance this year. Same with NY.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:20 PM (U/fqy)

212 Frank Luntz. The fat guy with the bad toupee?

Posted by: wth at September 30, 2026 03:16 PM (UjdFS)

-----------

The judges would have also accepted Mrs. Kevin McCarthy.

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 03:20 PM (4f3B/)

213 Novig: "We got Sydney Sweeney. Who you got?"

Kalshi: "We got CBS News, man!"

Posted by: Mark1971 at September 30, 2026 03:20 PM (/OKHJ)

214 The judges would have also accepted Mrs. Kevin McCarthy.
Posted by: ShainS

Heh. I had forgotten about that.

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 03:21 PM (77rzZ)

215 We’re partnering with CBS News to bring prediction market data to their midterm elections coverage.

11:02 AM · Sep 30, 2026
Posted by: Mark1971 at September 30, 2026 03:07 PM (/OKHJ)
==================================
"data"

Posted by: Huck Follywood at September 30, 2026 03:21 PM (v3w5Z)

216
Kalshi is desperate for something after the 9th circuit appeals court shitcanned their entire sports-betting business, at least in that circuit (which includes Nevada).
Posted by: Elric The Blade
=====
I would plan for the prediction markets being regulated or or even banned soon. To many people with inside information on events willing to sell out.

Posted by: whig at September 30, 2026 03:22 PM (E4rtv)

217 Oh, by the way, CA is looking like a D underperformance this year. Same with NY.

MA looks the same way to me this year. The commie governor will win and I don't expect the Reps to win any house seats thanks to gerrymandering but it will be closer then normal.

The NH is wear I'm more interested...the GOPer is going to beat the commie easily for governor and we might just get a house seat finally in New England

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:22 PM (sKqQm)

218 CBS Skews.

Posted by: Ben Had at September 30, 2026 03:22 PM (QwZKw)

219 If the Democrats win in 28 we will look back nostalgically on the Obama/Biden years. Yeah, it’ll be that bad in my view.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:22 PM (Gqar8)

220 Experts...

They seem to have a knack for being 100% wrong in the field in which they've supposedly earned their expertise.

Posted by: "Perfessor" Squirrel at September 30, 2026 03:23 PM (FZ29D)

221 One problem with housing is the buyer not only has to shoulder a 7% mortgage, the current homeowner wants the buyer to compensate him for giving up his 2.5% mortgage for 7% on his new address.

Posted by: Oglebay at September 30, 2026 03:23 PM (2ap+5)

222 Canada wants the Dems to win midterms, so everything Carney and the Liberals are doing is to do what THEY think will torpedo DJT.

Biggest set of psyops in world history.
Posted by: mrp at September 30, 2026 03:18 PM (rj6Yv)

Carney is playing Canadian Roulette with 6 bullets in his chambers, while any American paying attention just finds it funny.

Come on Alberta! Bust up the farce and be in a real country. Rename all your rivers America River! A generation of scrubbing Euro influence out and you can be invading the North Pole just like us!

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:23 PM (uhVAy)

223 We've endorsed! To find out our voting choices, just look for the "D" next to the candidate name.

Posted by: Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps at September 30, 2026 03:23 PM (v3w5Z)

224 Experts...

They seem to have a knack for being 100% wrong in the field in which they've supposedly earned their expertise.

Posted by: "Perfessor" Squirrel at September 30, 2026 03:23 PM (FZ29D)

If they were any good, people would be paying them for the advice and they wouldn't have to shout it on streetcorners with the other whores.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:24 PM (uhVAy)

225 Kalshi?

Posted by: Frank Costanza in Bed with Geogre at September 30, 2026 03:24 PM (0aYVJ)

226 217 Oh, by the way, CA is looking like a D underperformance this year. Same with NY.

MA looks the same way to me this year. The commie governor will win and I don't expect the Reps to win any house seats thanks to gerrymandering but it will be closer then normal.

The NH is wear I'm more interested...the GOPer is going to beat the commie easily for governor and we might just get a house seat finally in New England

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:22 PM (sKqQm)

========

And, again, this is not how a blue wave would form.

Early mail in voting data from OH has started coming in. Ohio votes about 20% by mail recently and has for a few cycles. Also, there was a large voter roll cleanup that knocked off about 300,000 registrations in the state.

Democrat turnout is down. Way down, in all of the urban centers, so far. Comparing day to day from the last 2 elections (22 and 24), it's down this year by double digits.

Blue enclaves in a state with a supposedly competitive senate and governor race are just...not turning out.

The turnout problem seems to actually be on the left.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:24 PM (U/fqy)

227
The NH is wear I'm more interested...the GOPer is going to beat the commie easily for governor and we might just get a house seat finally in New England
Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:22 PM (sKqQm)

_________

100 years ago, who would have thought the Republicans would dominate the South and Democrats would hold all the seats in New England?

Posted by: Hadrian the Seventh at September 30, 2026 03:24 PM (eRlcH)

228 221 One problem with housing is the buyer not only has to shoulder a 7% mortgage, the current homeowner wants the buyer to compensate him for giving up his 2.5% mortgage for 7% on his new address.
Posted by: Oglebay at September 30, 2026 03:23 PM (2ap+5)

True.

Posted by: Nova Local at September 30, 2026 03:24 PM (tOcjL)

229 We should totally put Democrats in charge because I don’t like the process of gas and Cheetos.

What’s the worst that could happen? I mean last time they crashed the economy.

Posted by: Vengeance at September 30, 2026 03:24 PM (iETvL)

230
Come on Alberta! Bust up the farce and be in a real country. Rename all your rivers America River! A generation of scrubbing Euro influence out and you can be invading the North Pole just like us!
Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:23 PM (uhVAy)

If for nothing else, the Oilers have a real shot to win the Stanley Cup in the next 2 years. If that is to happen, I would be most grateful were Alberta to NOT be part of Canada.

The drought would continue.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:24 PM (ccf/V)

231 Fake news for the win!

Americans’ Confidence in the Economy Sinks to Lowest Level Since 2014

Posted by: Anonosaurus Wrecks, Where's My Cookie? at September 30, 2026 03:25 PM (ndZc7)

232 Removes misspelled sock

Posted by: Frank Costanza in Bed with Geogre at September 30, 2026 03:25 PM (0aYVJ)

233 128 Meanwhile, Canada's economy is circling the bowl.

Elbows Up, icebacks.
Posted by: JackStraw at September 30, 2026 02:58

I mentioned this but I was at our local beer store. Apparently sales are noticably down.

Oh CNN and MS Now are very upset about military cuts.
They love the country so much.

Posted by: Stateless - Ralphy 105 years old - puppy at heart at September 30, 2026 03:25 PM (Sco7b)

234 Blue enclaves in a state with a supposedly competitive senate and governor race are just...not turning out.

The turnout problem seems to actually be on the left.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:24 PM (U/fqy)

Or the normal "D turnout ballots" are being held until they can be dumped in late night...

Posted by: Nova Local at September 30, 2026 03:25 PM (tOcjL)

235 Removes misspelled sock
Posted by: Frank Costanza in Bed with Geogre at September 30, 2026 03:25 PM (0aYVJ)

Fail......

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:25 PM (ccf/V)

236
100 years ago, who would have thought the Republicans would dominate the South and Democrats would hold all the seats in New England?

New England pols did invent modern gerrymandering...

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:26 PM (sKqQm)

237 Here's a fact for you:

Every poll that has Talarico winning, has him with a 20 to 30 point advantage among independents.

Beto, actual results: 3% advantage over Cruz among independents.

But sure, believe that there's suddenly been that massive swing--against a politician that just won statewide office--because of the now 3rd rehash of "he's corrupt and had an affair!"

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:26 PM (3cUTc)

238 Anacdotyal evidence:

My leading cleaning team worker bought a new car this week. A Mazda 3. She got a good monthly rate.

My cars are 15 years older.
I'm in the wrong business.

Posted by: NaCly Dog at September 30, 2026 03:26 PM (u82oZ)

239 President Trump in two years has delivered a booming short-term economy, long-term investment that will sustain economic growth, secure our borders, is getting rid of the legal aliens, battled the Democrat courts hell bent on destroying his administration with some success, has remapped the global balance of power, secured energy dominance for the US, has taken out Iran for the most part, clipped the wings of the Democrats administrative state, and is working to ensure the US is the AI leader. This list is hardly inclusive.

Somehow the Left has drummed up the story that he is a failed president and to some degree made it stick. More insane is the Left is selling this crap while promoting a Communist/Islamic takeover of the nation which will destroy as a positive.

I have no idea how this election will play out but I can point to the 1864 election when it was thought Lincoln would lose. Then it was the men who were dying for him came through and gave him that second term. If Trump is going to prevail it will be the average American foot soldier citizen that will do this; this is something I would not bet against. Have faith.

Posted by: Altaria Pilgram - My president has convictions. at September 30, 2026 03:27 PM (VyD10)

240 derpity derp

Posted by: Pug Mahon, Trumpy can do magic at September 30, 2026 03:27 PM (0aYVJ)

241 237 Here's a fact for you:

Every poll that has Talarico winning, has him with a 20 to 30 point advantage among independents.

Beto, actual results: 3% advantage over Cruz among independents.

But sure, believe that there's suddenly been that massive swing--against a politician that just won statewide office--because of the now 3rd rehash of "he's corrupt and had an affair!"

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:26 PM (3cUTc)

=======

"I totally didn't believe the summer polls showing Texas to be going blue. I learned my lesson in 2024 when Allred was in striking distance of Cruz consistently and then went on to lose by 9."

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:27 PM (U/fqy)

242 I think in general things are swinging better but slower than we'd like. Hopefully not too slowly to make people feel optimistic by the midterm.

Posted by: RandomDave (if you can spare a bit, please click!) at September 30, 2026 03:27 PM (aJQbY)

243 One other frustrating thing with this election - the Dems are only competitive at all because of rotten boroughs full of illegals.

Even without the illegals themselves voting they've made it so in blue states there are significantly fewer citizens per district then in red states.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:27 PM (sKqQm)

244 I have old vehicles.

88 (restoration project)
96
2008
2013
2014

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:27 PM (ccf/V)

245 +5 in the House and +2 in the Senate for an R gain.

Posted by: Ben Had at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (QwZKw)

246 Here is a hopeful thought - maybe, just maybe the rabid racoons on the Left have scared the shit out of some standard Dems. Maybe, just maybe their turnout will be affected.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (Gqar8)

247 128 Meanwhile, Canada's economy is circling the bowl.

How could they tell?

Posted by: canada is a popcorn fart economy at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (PMpfL)

248 Dropped my wounded Subaru Forrester off at Caliber Collision this morning.
Posted by: Bulg

I predict Caliber will overprice your estimate and total your Subaru. A total scam run by body shops and insurance companies to fix and resell or part-out.

I recommend an independent shop for a second estimate.

Posted by: stu-mick-o-sucks at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (w9Wax)

249 I would plan for the prediction markets being regulated or or even banned soon. To many people with inside information on events willing to sell out.

Posted by: whig at September 30, 2026 03:22 PM (E4rtv)

------------

College & Professional Sports officials, referees, and umpires hardest hit!

/Not to mention White House teleprompter operators ...

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (4f3B/)

250 100 years ago, who would have thought the Republicans would dominate the South and Democrats would hold all the seats in New England?
Posted by: Hadrian the Seventh

Nixon?

Posted by: Auspex at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (Y8DZL)

251 Blue enclaves in a state with a supposedly competitive senate and governor race are just...not turning out.

The turnout problem seems to actually be on the left.
Posted by: TheJamesMadison
-------
Urban blacks decline plus fear of cheating prosecutions. Seems to be similar in TX urban areas according go Seth Keshel.

Posted by: whig at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (E4rtv)

252
"Dad used to beat him up."

"Good."

Posted by: ... at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (x8rTv)

253 Beato was exactly the kind of candidate you think would do we for the Dems.

Normal looking white guy with a fake hispanic name who is straight and sounds normal.

Yes he was a commie but he could play at not being one.

Talafreako? He's the kind of guy normal people don't let near their children.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (sKqQm)

254
"I totally didn't believe the summer polls showing Texas to be going blue. I learned my lesson in 2024 when Allred was in striking distance of Cruz consistently and then went on to lose by 9."
Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:27 PM (U/fqy)

The ad a Cruz PAC put out showing a menacing football player standing over the poor young girl having just been walloped laying on the ground was VERY effective.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (ccf/V)

255 Every poll that has Talarico winning, has him with a 20 to 30 point advantage among independents.

Beto, actual results: 3% advantage over Cruz among independents.

But sure, believe that there's suddenly been that massive swing--against a politician that just won statewide office--because of the now 3rd rehash of "he's corrupt and had an affair!"
Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:26 PM (3cUTc)
=================
Our endorsement will make that difference!

Posted by: Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (v3w5Z)

256 MAZE
@mazemoore
MSNOW's coverage of the FlyDubai incident is as expected.
They bring in Inzamam Rashid to let everyone know that the motive is completely unclear.

-
I assume the pilot and the co-pilot were fighting over one of those little bags of peanuts.

Posted by: Anonosaurus Wrecks, Where's My Cookie? at September 30, 2026 03:30 PM (ndZc7)

257
Talafreako? He's the kind of guy normal people don't let near their children.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (sKqQm)

You can still see the cum dripping from his lips.......

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:30 PM (ccf/V)

258 Here is a hopeful thought - maybe, just maybe the rabid racoons on the Left have scared the shit out of some standard Dems. Maybe, just maybe their turnout will be affected.
Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (Gqar

====

The King Roy Cooper $3 campaign blegs just keep rolling in. I'm getting one every two days now.

Posted by: mrp at September 30, 2026 03:30 PM (rj6Yv)

259 I predict Caliber will overprice your estimate and total your Subaru. A total scam run by body shops and insurance companies to fix and resell or part-out.

I recommend an independent shop for a second estimate.
Posted by: stu-mick-o-sucks

We've always had great results with Caliber. I see no reason to doubt them, at least this particular shop.

Posted by: Bulg at September 30, 2026 03:30 PM (77rzZ)

260 246 Here is a hopeful thought - maybe, just maybe the rabid racoons on the Left have scared the shit out of some standard Dems. Maybe, just maybe their turnout will be affected.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (Gqar

====

I think it's a combination of a few things:

Voter roll cleanups have been aggressively pursued by DOJ and outside groups, limiting cheating abilities.
DOJ threats to monitor voting in blue enclaves is giving the left some pause.
Blacks are turning off of politics because of a series of loses both political (Callais) and generalized (the prominence of other client groups in Democrat rhetoric and policy).
Trump actually is animating low propensity GOP voters this year.
Illegals who do vote are actually terrified of trying now.

Posted by: TheJamesMadison, discovering British horror with Hammer Films at September 30, 2026 03:30 PM (U/fqy)

261 Real GDP was revised up 0.7% point from the second estimate, "primarily reflecting upward revisions to investment, consumer spending and government spending," the Commerce Department's bureau also said.

Just my opinion but government spending should never be counted in the GDP, especially with the rampant deficit spending going on in DC.

Posted by: Mister Scott (Formerly GWS) at September 30, 2026 03:30 PM (I43vL)

262 Waves have never, ever worked like that.

The biggest crests are in the places where the party who is benefiting from the wave are entrenched.
--
Exactly.
Polls are showing essentially tied races everywhere.

Or:
If Talarico was really winning in TX, it wouldn't be close in MN, NH, or MI.
But it is.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:30 PM (3cUTc)

263 Here is a hopeful thought - maybe, just maybe the rabid racoons on the Left have scared the shit out of some standard Dems. Maybe, just maybe their turnout will be affected.

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (Gqar

-------------

The Islammunists may have to step up their election-rigging games.

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 03:31 PM (4f3B/)

264 245 +5 in the House and +2 in the Senate for an R gain.
Posted by: Ben Had at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (QwZKw)

LOVE THIS!

Hope and prayers, Ben Had, for this very thing.

I am an eternal optimist and always find hope.

Posted by: ChristyBlinkyTheGreat at September 30, 2026 03:31 PM (hzuYO)

265 Kalshi is desperate for something after the 9th circuit appeals court shitcanned their entire sports-betting business, at least in that circuit (which includes Nevada).
Posted by: Elric The Blade
=====
I would plan for the prediction markets being regulated or or even banned soon. To many people with inside information on events willing to sell out.
Posted by: whig at September 30, 2026 03:22 PM (E4rtv)
______

True, but there's a loophole in federal commodities law that allows non-sports prediction markets as some kind of futures contract swap. States have little to no power over that.

But sport betting is a different animal, and the states have yuge regulating powers. And they will fight to the end because they want their nice fat cut of the action.

Posted by: Elric The Blade at September 30, 2026 03:31 PM (iFTx/)

266 >>My leading cleaning team worker bought a new car this week. A Mazda 3. She got a good monthly rate.

>My cars are 15 years older.

She will be making payments for years.

You will not.

Posted by: Rosie O'Donnel at September 30, 2026 03:31 PM (vNne8)

267 Here is a hopeful thought - maybe, just maybe the rabid racoons on the Left have scared the shit out of some standard Dems. Maybe, just maybe their turnout will be affected.
Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (Gqar

Yes, I don't see how the fecklessness of the Geriatric Wing of the Dems and the idiocy and failure of the Communist/Islamofacist wing is the recipe for victory. Remember TX and FL have a built in plus for the good guys baked in already no matter what Missouri does.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:32 PM (uhVAy)

268 dammit...OFF stinky lesboSock

Posted by: garrett at September 30, 2026 03:32 PM (vNne8)

269
It makes no difference. We're all going to drown from the MASSIVE storm this week.

Posted by: Hadrian the Seventh at September 30, 2026 03:32 PM (eRlcH)

270 I predict Caliber will overprice your estimate and total your Subaru. A total scam run by body shops and insurance companies to fix and resell or part-out.

I recommend an independent shop for a second estimate.
Posted by: stu-mick-o-sucks

My daughter has 2 totals on her record. Both cars were very repairable, but the Ins Co deemed them totals, took them, then auctioned them off.

They're both currently in the state of Illinois being repaired for resale as salvages. They'll get their money back, for sure.

Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:32 PM (ccf/V)

271 Anyone who thinks the Democrats will do better on the economy has a REALLY short-term memory.

They should not be allowed anywhere near a voting booth.

They should also send me all their money, as I will be a better steward of their resources than they are now.

Posted by: "Perfessor" Squirrel at September 30, 2026 03:32 PM (FZ29D)

272 Talafreako? He's the kind of guy normal people don't let near their children.

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (sKqQm)

He's the kind that doesn't wait for permission

Posted by: ... at September 30, 2026 03:32 PM (x8rTv)

273 88 (restoration project)
96
2008
2013
2014
Posted by: Sponge

Mine are
60
63
86
07
I know AOP can top this, so I don't know why I bother.

Posted by: Olden Times Were Better at September 30, 2026 03:32 PM (Fn+3X)

274 Or the normal "D turnout ballots" are being held until they can be dumped in late night...
Posted by: Nova Local
==========
Doesn't work like that in normal states. You have to request a ballot be mailed, not blanket mailouts. Whole process takes time.

Dems rely on mailouts first for ballot harvesting and fraud , second early voting, EV voting is almost always GOP heavy. Dem spin is that these mail in ballot requesters not requesting will vote in person early.

Posted by: whig at September 30, 2026 03:33 PM (E4rtv)

275 Just my opinion but government spending should never be counted in the GDP, especially with the rampant deficit spending going on in DC.
Posted by: Mister Scott (Formerly GWS) at September 30, 2026 03:30 PM (I43vL)

=======

Just think how high GDP growth will be when we refinance maturing 0.5% bonds for 6% on the run.

(I don't know if government debt service is included in GDP, but it would funny if it were)

Posted by: Oglebay at September 30, 2026 03:33 PM (2ap+5)

276 Democrats are on the loosing side of the 80 - 20 divide they are not going to like the choices the normal average Joe & Jane make.

Posted by: Gmac-WTF did you think was going to happen at September 30, 2026 03:34 PM (Q/FnY)

277 Oh, by the way, CA is looking like a D underperformance this year. Same with NY.
---
That remains my "holy shit, I think I pulled a muscle laughing" prediction.

That CA with their super smart redistricting, spread themselves way to thin.
That they had way too many close races they only won by massive cheating after the fact.
And are not going to gain the 5 seats they predicted.

A competitive R for governor while a near-retard is running on the other side matters for races outside of L.A.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:34 PM (3cUTc)

278 248 Dropped my wounded Subaru Forrester off at Caliber Collision this morning.
Posted by: Bulg

I predict Caliber will overprice your estimate and total your Subaru. A total scam run by body shops and insurance companies to fix and resell or part-out.

I recommend an independent shop for a second estimate.
Posted by: stu-mick-o-sucks at September 30, 2026 03:28 PM (w9Wax)

Did that to both my cars...but there was nowhere else that could take my cars that insurance covered...

When they did it to the 2nd car, I got a way better payout...so it was worth going away (same payout for my 2020 and 2011 cars with similar mileage - yes, I was pissed about the 2020 payout and called it fraud, so when I got car 2 with the same result, I think they knew to overpay me or state people were getting inolved - my kids got cars hit in back to back months - day I was paid out was day 2nd car was hit, so it was fresh)...

Posted by: Nova Local at September 30, 2026 03:34 PM (tOcjL)

279 Car loans aren't the worst sort of debt but they are pretty bad.

Under Biden you could get a 3% mortgage while inflation was 10%+ which is basically getting free money.

Getting a 8% or higher rate loan for a car now with inflation at 3% is a bad deal unless you need it to get to work.

Better to buy/keep an older car if you can minimize debt on it.

And apparently I'm turning into David Ramsey...

Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:34 PM (sKqQm)

280 I have old vehicles.

88 (restoration project)
96
2008
2013
2014
Posted by: Sponge - F*ck Cancer at September 30, 2026 03:27 PM (ccf/V)
___

Ours are 2008 and 2014.

Posted by: SMH at God's mercy at September 30, 2026 03:34 PM (X7pZH)

281 Beato was exactly the kind of candidate you think would do we for the Dems.

Normal looking white guy with a fake hispanic name who is straight and sounds normal.

Yes he was a commie but he could play at not being one.

Talafreako? He's the kind of guy normal people don't let near their children.
Posted by: 18-1 at September 30, 2026 03:29 PM (sKqQm)

That lasted for about 5 days. The feeding your wife your baby's poo story pretty much put the 'normal' illusion out the window.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:34 PM (uhVAy)

282 NOOD UK Muzzies

Posted by: ShainS at September 30, 2026 03:35 PM (4f3B/)

283 Anyone know the provenance of the Lezbaru designation?

Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:35 PM (Gqar8)

284 Blue enclaves in a state with a supposedly competitive senate and governor race are just...not turning out.
--
The cope is that their voters are totally going to reverse their habits and trend of the last 10 years and are going to show up on Election Day, in person.

LOL sure.

Posted by: People's Hippo Voice at September 30, 2026 03:36 PM (3cUTc)

285 Anyone know the provenance of the Lezbaru designation?
Posted by: tubal at September 30, 2026 03:35 PM (

Probably the Dead Sea Scrolls. Its OLD.

Posted by: Oldcat at September 30, 2026 03:36 PM (uhVAy)

286 I parked next to a Bentley SUV yesterday. Bentley makes SUVs??? My wife assured me they do and that the particular model we were parked beside costs north of $600K.

Posted by: Oglebay at September 30, 2026 03:37 PM (2ap+5)

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